Incentivizing household action: Exploring the behavioral wedge in the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act

Incentivizing household action: Exploring the behavioral wedge in the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act
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激励家庭行动:探索 2021 年基础设施投资和就业法案和 2022 年通胀削减法案中的行为楔子

DOI:
10.1016/j.enpol.2024.113992
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发表时间:
2024
期刊:
影响因子:
9
通讯作者:
Currier, Elodie O.
Currier, Elodie O.
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Caballero, Mariah D.;Vandenbergh, Michael P.;Gilligan, Jonathan M.;Currier, Elodie O.

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在2021年的《基础设施投资和就业法案》(IIJA)和2022年的《通货膨胀削减法案》(伊拉)中,美国国会对家庭行动的重要性进行了重大押注,这些行动的激励措施可能会产生不成比例的大幅减排。快速能源政策评估和分析工具包(REPEAT)的建模估计表明,假设经济环境摩擦较小,到2030年,伊拉的3310亿美元投资可以将碳排放量减少到2005年基线的42%。为了评估家庭行动的作用,我们使用了两部分方法:1)伊拉和IIJA的政策分析,以确定家庭的激励措施; 2)REPEAT的政策模型的二级数据分析,以确定与家庭行动相关的减排潜力。我们发现,390亿美元(占伊拉气候和能源基金的12%)和43亿美元(占IIJA清洁能源和电力基金的5.7%)针对自愿家庭行动,这些行动贡献了伊拉和IIJA下累计减排量的40%,假设采用中等情景。家庭行动实现伊拉和IIJA的减排目标的重要性表明,实际影响可能会因行为可塑性而异,计划设计应反映社会和行为科学的见解。
In the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) and the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the United States (US) Congress placed a major bet on the importance of household actions, and the incentives for these actions may yield disproportionately large emissions reductions. Modeling estimates from the Rapid Energy Policy Evaluation and Analysis Toolkit (REPEAT) suggest that the IRA's $331 billion investment can reduce carbon emissions by as much as 42% below a 2005 baseline by 2030, assuming a low-friction economic environment. To evaluate the role of household actions, we use a two-part method: 1) Policy analyses of the IRA and IIJA to identify household incentives; 2) Secondary data analysis of REPEAT's policy models to identify the potential for emissions reductions associated with household action. We find that $39 billion, or 12% of climate and energy funds in the IRA and $4.3 billion or 5.7% of clean energy and power funds in the IIJA, target voluntary household actions, and that these actions contribute 40% of the cumulative emissions reductions under the IRA and IIJA, assuming a mid-range scenario for uptake. The importance of household actions to achieving IRA and IIJA's emissions reduction goals suggests that actual impacts will likely vary by behavioral plasticity, and that program design should reflect social and behavioral science insights.
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