A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
A global airport-based risk model for the spread of dengue infection via the air transport network.
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DOI：
10.1371/journal.pone.0072129
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
Sarkar S
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gardner L;Sarkar S
在过去十年中，全球旅行获得性登革热感染人数持续上升。来自登革热流行地区的国际航空客运量增加，导致流行地区和其他地区的登革热病例数量上升。本文报告了基于网络的风险评估模型的结果，该模型使用国际旅客旅行量、旅行路线、旅行距离、区域人口和预测物种分布模型（针对两种媒介物种，埃及伊蚊和白纹伊蚊）来量化每个机场对输入旅行获得性登革热感染旅客构成的相对风险。评估了两个风险属性：(i)每个中途停留机场的直航交通构成的风险；（ii）每个目的地机场的入境旅客构成的风险。模型结果优先考虑了登革热目标监测的最佳地点（即机场）。该模型很容易推广到其他病媒传播疾病。
The number of travel-acquired dengue infections has seen a consistent global rise over the past decade. An increased volume of international passenger air traffic originating from regions with endemic dengue has contributed to a rise in the number of dengue cases in both areas of endemicity and elsewhere. This paper reports results from a network-based risk assessment model which uses international passenger travel volumes, travel routes, travel distances, regional populations, and predictive species distribution models (for the two vector species, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus) to quantify the relative risk posed by each airport in importing passengers with travel-acquired dengue infections. Two risk attributes are evaluated: (i) the risk posed by through traffic at each stopover airport and (ii) the risk posed by incoming travelers to each destination airport. The model results prioritize optimal locations (i.e., airports) for targeted dengue surveillance. The model is easily extendible to other vector-borne diseases.
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DOI：
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发表时间：
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影响因子：
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发表时间：
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期刊：
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影响因子：
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