Basic and Applied Statistical Inference

基础和应用统计推断

• 批准号: 8909866
• 负责人: Joseph Gastwirth
• 金额: $ 1.5万
• 依托单位: George Washington University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1989
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1989-08-01 至 1991-01-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=8909866&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Basic; Applied; Statistical; Inference

Over the last decade statistical data inference have played an important role in establishing the basic facts used for public policy, e.g. estimating the prevalence of HIV infection, determining the risk of cancer from occupational or environmental exposures, and in the legal setting, e.g. cases concerning employment discrimination. The purpose of this project is to study statistical problems arising in these contexts and to develop appropriate statistical methodologies for their solution. Research on procedures for estimating the prevalence of rare diseases which preserve anonymity by combining individual samples into batches prior to testing is a major goal. These methods should enable health specialists to obtain the cooperation of the public as infected individuals and non-infected persons who are misclassified (false positive) will not be identified. Robust methods which led to statistically valid inferences when several scientifically plausible models may underlie the data or when a few observations may be erroneous will continue to emphasized. In addition, statistical methods continue to play a role in the analysis of pay, promotion and hiring data in employment discrimination cases. In particular, alternative regression approaches will be analyzed that were used by parties in the Watson v. Fort Worth Bank case.

在过去十年中，统计数据推断在确定用于公共政策的基本事实方面发挥了重要作用，例如，估计艾滋病毒感染的流行率，确定职业或环境暴露导致癌症的风险，以及在法律环境中，例如与就业歧视有关的案件。本项目的目的是研究在这些情况下出现的统计问题，并为解决这些问题制定适当的统计方法。研究评估罕见疾病流行情况的程序是一个主要目标，这些程序通过在检测前将个别样本组合成批次来保持匿名性。这些方法应使卫生专家能够获得公众的合作，因为被错误分类(假阳性)的感染者和非感染者将不会被识别。当几个科学上可信的模型可能构成数据的基础或几个观察结果可能是错误的时，稳健的方法将继续得到统计上有效的推论。此外，统计方法继续在分析就业歧视案件中的薪酬、晋升和雇用数据方面发挥作用。特别是，将分析沃森诉沃斯堡银行案中各方使用的替代回归方法。