Democracy and the Mediation of International Conflict

民主与国际冲突的调解

• 批准号: 9211364
• 负责人: William Dixon
• 金额: $ 3.97万
• 依托单位: University of Arizona
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1992
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1992-07-15 至 1994-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9211364&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Democracy; Mediation; International; Conflict

Democratic nations are involved in hostilities and wars about as often as non-democratic nations. However, hostilities and wars between democracies are rare events. A fundamental proposition has emerged to explain why democracies rarely engage in hostile acts with one another. Namely, contending democratic nations avoid war with one another by successfully employing mediation and other efforts of third parties to resolve or ameliorate conflicts between them. The goal of this research is to investigate the impact of democratic governance on the use of conflict management techniques and peaceful settlement in approximately 250 postwar interstate security disputes. It represents the first attempt to subject this fundamental proposition to direct empirical investigation. The researcher will begin by developing an integrated data base drawing together diverse information on interstate disputes and their outcomes, attributes of contending parties in the disputes, any third parties seeking amelioration, and specific actions taken by both disputants and third parties. Using these data, the researcher will construct and estimate a theoretical model incorporating democracy as a factor promoting the use of conflict management techniques and then, focus on more complex models of how democracy works in conjunction with conflict management techniques in the peaceful settlement of disputes. The final phase of the project involves post-hoc examination of selected disputes in a series of comparative case studies. These stages of inquiry assure that the proposition about why democracies rarely engage in wars with one another is rigorously tested.

民主国家卷入敌对行动和战争的频率与非民主国家一样频繁。 然而，民主国家之间的敌对行动和战争是罕见的。 一个基本命题的出现可以解释为什么民主国家很少相互进行敌对行为。 也就是说，竞争的民主国家通过成功地利用第三方的调解和其他努力来解决或缓和它们之间的冲突，从而避免彼此发生战争。 本研究的目的是调查民主治理对冲突管理技术的使用以及和平解决约 250 起战后国家间安全争端的影响。 它代表了将这一基本命题置于直接实证研究之下的首次尝试。 研究人员将首先开发一个综合数据库，汇集有关州际争端及其结果、争端各方的属性、寻求改善的第三方以及争端双方和第三方采取的具体行动的各种信息。 利用这些数据，研究人员将构建和估计一个理论模型，将民主作为促进冲突管理技术使用的一个因素，然后重点关注民主如何与冲突管理技术在和平解决争端中结合起来发挥作用的更复杂的模型。 该项目的最后阶段包括对一系列比较案例研究中选定的争议进行事后审查。这些阶段的调查确保了关于为什么民主国家很少相互之间发生战争的命题得到了严格的检验。