Design Effective Agricultural Liberalization: An Analysis of Peasants, Their Markets and Supply Response in Madagascar

设计有效的农业自由化：对马达加斯加农民、他们的市场和供应反应的分析

• 批准号: 9312615
• 负责人: Michael Carter
• 金额: $ 0.4万
• 依托单位: University of Wisconsin-Madison
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1993
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1993-09-01 至 1995-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9312615&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Design; Effective; Agricultural; Liberalization; Analysis

9312615 Carter Agricultural liberalization in Madagascar has had disappointing results: agricultural production per capita has declined since reforms began. This dissertation research project will attempt to explain in microeconomic terms the fallacies in the logic of liberalization which have produced these unexpected outcomes. The candidate, Christopher B. Barrett, working under the supervision of Prof. Michael R. Carter, of the Department of Agricultural Economics, of the University of Wisconsin - Madison, will collect market-structure data on ten villages in one of Madagascar's principal agricultural regions, the Vakinankaratra area of the Central Highlands. The cooperating Malagasy institution, the Centre d'Etudes Economiques of the Universite d'Antananarivo, under the direction of Dr. Pepe Andrianomanana, will assist in identifying informants. These data will be analyzed in conjunction with existing data already gathered from a variety of sources, including an 825-household Malagasy farm management study fielded in 1990. The researcher will use the data to test a microeconomic theory of peasant response to risk in an imperfect market environment. The conventional, reductionist approach, which identifies prices as levels and represents markets by price levels alone, predicts relatively uniform producer response across households. The proposed approach would add three intuitive insights to the conventional model: that prices are distributions, that markets are not uniform in the way they transmit price signals, and that farm-level, non-price constraints bind differentially across producers and commodities. The potential practical benefit would be a new perspective that could improve the design of agricultural liberalization programs. ***

9312615卡特马达加斯加农业自由化的结果令人失望：自改革开始以来，人均农业生产一直在下降。这篇论文的研究项目将试图从微观经济学的角度解释自由化逻辑中的谬误，这些谬误产生了这些意想不到的结果。候选人克里斯托弗·B·巴雷特在威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校农业经济系迈克尔·R·卡特教授的指导下工作，将收集马达加斯加主要农业区之一中央高地Vakinankaratra地区的十个村庄的市场结构数据。在Pepe Andrionomanana博士的指导下，合作的马达加斯加机构--塔那那利佛大学经济中心将协助查明告密者。这些数据将结合已从各种来源收集的现有数据进行分析，包括1990年实地调查的一项有825户家庭参加的马达加斯加农场管理研究。研究人员将使用这些数据来检验微观经济学理论，即农民在不完美的市场环境下对风险的反应。传统的简约主义方法将价格视为水平，并仅以价格水平代表市场，这种方法预测，所有家庭的生产者反应相对一致。拟议的方法将为传统模型增加三个直观的见解：价格是分配，市场传递价格信号的方式并不一致，农业层面的非价格约束对生产者和大宗商品的约束是不同的。潜在的实际利益将是一个新的视角，可以改进农业自由化计划的设计。***