Electoral Laws, Electoral List and Campaigning in the First Non-Racial South African Election

南非第一次非种族选举中的选举法、选举名单和竞选活动

• 批准号: 9321864
• 负责人: Bernard Grofman
• 金额: $ 3.95万
• 依托单位: University of California-Irvine
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1994
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1994-02-01 至 1996-01-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9321864&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Electoral; Laws; List; Campaigning; First

9321864 Grofman The multi-party negotiation process in South Africa has set a date of April 27, 1994 for universal suffrage elections to a new constituent assembly that will serve as an interim legislature and as a constitutional drafting body for a new constitution. The basic election mechanism will be list Proportional Representation (PR) with both local constituencies and a national list. This investigation involves using a combination of hard and soft data to test a number of specific hypotheses about party strategies and voter choices in this important election - - hypotheses with general implication for the study of the influence of electoral systems on racial and ethnic conflict. An investigator will spend two and one half months in South Africa observing the campaigning in this critical election and gathering an archive of campaign material and a data base about candidates. The investigator will remain for several weeks after the election to conduct additional interviews of participants (both winners and losers) and of academic and journalistic sources and to collect a complete data set of election outcomes at the magisterial district (precinct equivalent) level and data sets from as many public opinion polls as are available. These data will also be used to generate simulations of the likely electoral consequences had alternative electoral systems been used. ***

9321864格罗夫曼南非的多党谈判进程确定了1994年4月27日举行新制宪会议普选选举的日期，新制宪会议将作为临时立法机构和新宪法的宪法起草机构。基本选举机制将是名单比例代表制，既有地方选区，也有全国名单。这项调查涉及使用硬数据和软数据相结合的方法来检验关于这次重要选举中的政党战略和选民选择的一些具体假设--这些假设对研究选举制度对种族和民族冲突的影响具有普遍意义。一名调查员将在南非花两个半月的时间观察这场关键选举的竞选活动，并收集竞选材料档案和候选人的数据库。调查员将在选举后留下来几个星期，对参与者(赢家和输家)以及学术和新闻来源进行更多的约谈，并收集一套完整的区(相当于选区)选举结果数据，以及尽可能多的民意调查数据。这些数据还将用于模拟如果使用替代选举制度可能产生的选举后果。***