Strategies to minimise the societal impacts of zoonotic pandemics

尽量减少人畜共患流行病的社会影响的策略

• 批准号: DE230100730
• 负责人: A/Prof James Trauer
• 金额: $ 31.57万
• 依托单位: Monash University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Early Career Researcher Award
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2023-01-01 至 2025-12-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DE230100730
• 关键词: Strategies; minimise; societal; impacts; zoonotic

The continuing pandemic has had unprecedented effects across society. Population mobility restrictions have been effective in slowing transmission, but are only effective while in place and have dramatic adverse effects. Despite Australia’s relative success, we have lacked a clear national strategy to guide the optimal deployment of such restrictions. During this fellowship, I will use robust software development practices to develop a unified software platform that integrates semi-mechanistic, particle filter and agent-based methodologies. I will then use this platform to quantify the effects of mobility restrictions and define the optimal strategic response that should be selected based on the characteristics of a newly emerged pathogen.

持续的大流行对整个社会产生了前所未有的影响。人口流动限制在减缓传播方面是有效的，但只有在实施到位时才有效，而且会产生严重的不利影响。尽管澳大利亚取得了相对的成功，但我们缺乏一项明确的国家战略来指导这种限制的最佳部署。在此期间，我将使用强大的软件开发实践来开发一个统一的软件平台，该平台集成了半机械，粒子过滤和基于代理的方法。然后，我将使用这个平台来量化流动性限制的影响，并根据新出现的病原体的特征确定应选择的最佳战略反应。