Integrating Climate, Hydrologic and Decision-Support Models for Regional Assessments

Dirmeyer, Paul A.全球环境与社会研究所，Inc.；题目：整合气候、水文和决策支持模型进行区域评估。该建议的思想是开发基于组件模型的集成评估能力。为此，建议改进目前的气候、水文和评估模式，并发展有效的机制将这些模式结合起来，以便对气候和水文条件下的区域气候变化作出越来越详细的预测，而这些预测反过来又用于对关键部门可用水量变化的后果提供更现实的评估。该系统将在恒河-雅鲁藏布江流域进行测试。这项研究非常符合MMIA的目标，如果成功，将有助于减轻气候变化的有害影响。

ABSTRACT ATM -9712057 Dirmeyer, Paul A. Institute of Global Environment & Society, Inc. TITLE: Integrating Climate, Hydrologic, and Decision Support Models for Regional Assessment. The idea of the proposal is to develop an integrated assessment capability based on component models. For this it is proposed to improve current climate, hydrologic and assessment models and to develop effective mechanisms for coupling these models in order to produce increasingly detailed projections of regional climate changes in climate and hydrological conditions which in turn are used to provide more realistic assessment of the consequences of resulting changes in water availability for key sectors. This system will be tested over the Ganges-Brahmaputra valley. This research fits into the goals of MMIA very well and if successful will help mitigating the detrimental effects of climate change.