SGER: Predicting the Spread of West Nile Virus in the New World

西尼罗河病毒（WNV）是一种黄病毒，原产于欧洲、亚洲和东非。它于1999年出现在纽约市，此后蔓延到美国东部的大部分地区。西尼罗河病毒在新大陆的传播模式正在阐明蚊子宿主和其他媒介，特别是候鸟的相对作用。最近的报告指出西尼罗河病毒出现在加勒比地区，这对该地区的特有鸟类物种造成了严重后果，其中许多物种处于危险之中。该项目将支持更详细的模型，一个抽样计划将进一步记录西尼罗河病毒在加勒比地区的传播，并帮助预测其传播和可能的遏制。

West Nile virus (WNV) is a flavivirus that is native to Europe, Asia and eastern Africa. It appeared in New York City in 1999 and has since spread to much of the eastern USA. Models of WNV spread in the New World are clarifying the relative roles of both the mosquito host and other vectors, especially migratory birds. Recent reports place WNV in the Caribbean, which has serious consequence for endemic bird species in the region, many of which are endanger. This project will support more detailed models and a program of sampling will further document the arrival of WNV in the Caribbean and help predict its spread and possible containment.