PREMISE: Emerging Materials and Future Global Resource Scarcity: Identifying Technologies with Impact

这个产品实现和环境制造创新系统（前提）探索性研究项目的目标是通过提供对新兴技术的环境价值和市场潜力的理解，使政策制定者能够更好地分配研究资金。实现新兴材料的能源和资源效益，取决于这些材料在市场上的成功。这种成功是由现有技术和新兴技术提供的一系列特性驱动的。虽然经典的价值理论可以确定首选的替代方案，但它在描述采用的实际路径方面没有提供指导。单独的回顾性分析也不适合描述面临重大结构变化（例如，革命性材料）的市场。需要一种方法来解决驱动材料商业化潜力的问题，该方法将由该项目开发，包括：1)导致替代所需的成本和性能特征；2)材料I工艺实现这些特性的潜力；3)面对日益增长的需求，材料市场的演变方式；4)一项新兴技术对资源使用的净终身影响。规划活动将组成一个跨学科小组，以确定推动采用的问题和适合其研究的方法。规划工作将产生一项研究计划，用于评估这些问题和确定初步个案研究，以指导第二阶段的工作。本规划项目的另一个目标是将资源利用考虑和工业生态概念融入工程教育。该项目将侧重于开发跨学科、以案例为基础的课程。这项工作将产生的综合框架将使决策者能够确定最有可能对环境负担产生影响的材料技术，并了解在什么条件下会发生这些替代。

The goal of this Product Realization and Environmental Manufacturing Innovative Systems (PREMISE) Exploratory Research project is to allow policy-makers to better allocate research funds by providing an understanding of both the environmental value and market potential of an emergent technology. Realizing the energy and resource benefits of emerging materials, depends upon market success for those materials. This success is driven by the bundle of characteristics provided by the incumbent and emergent technology. Although classic value theory can identify the preferred alternative, it provides no guidance in describing the actual path of adoption. Solely retrospective analyses are also inappropriate for describing markets confronted with significant structural changes (e.g., revolutionary materials). A methodology that addresses the issues that drive a material's potential for commercialization is needed and will be developed by this project, including: 1) the cost and performance characteristics necessary to lead to substitution; 2) the potential for a material I process to achieve those characteristics; 3) the manner in which material markets evolve in the face of increasing demand; and 4) the net lifetime impact on resource use provided by an emerging technology. The planning activity will assemble an interdisciplinary team to identify the issues which drive adoption and the methodologies appropriate to their study. The planning effort will yield a research plan for assessing such issues and identifying preliminary case studies to guide the second phase of work. Another objective of this planning project is the integration of resource use considerations and industrial ecology concepts into engineering education. The project will focus on the development of interdisciplinary, case-based courses. The integrated framework that will emerge from this work will allow decision makers to identify those materials technologies most likely to make an impact on environmental burden as well as to understand under what conditions those substitutions will occur.