Workshop on Collaborative Research through an Integrated Tsunami Scenario Simulation

这一行动是为了支持一系列三个研讨会，以启动、开发、协调和维持社区为减轻海啸灾害而进行的情景模拟工作。这些模拟涉及许多要素，包括海啸产生、水动力学、警报传输、疏散、人类行为以及社会和环境影响。情景模拟演习的目的是为海啸科学和灾害规划的所有方面的研究人员提供类似于在真实实地调查中获得的体验。在运行模拟和评估结果时，将确定每个专业领域需要改进的关键问题。模拟工作将提供宝贵的共同背景，以便在分布广泛的多学科海啸社区中形成和保持一致性。海啸社区在2002年在西雅图举行的国家科学基金会研讨会上讨论了海啸情景模拟的想法。与会者强烈建议开发一个综合的海啸情景模拟。这三个研讨会的目的是通过广泛分布的多学科、多社区的努力来实施这项建议。计划举办三个研讨会，在接下来的三年里每年一个。第一个讲习班将用于启动模拟工作，第二个讲习班将作为扩大这些活动的催化剂，第三个讲习班将侧重于所开发系统的应用和使用。第一期讲习班计划于2003年6月在俄勒冈州立大学举行。将成立一个工作组来组织和协调这些讲习班。由于情景模拟的多学科、多社区性质，工作组将由来自不同学科的专家组成。在每个讲习班之前，工作组将担任指导委员会的角色。每次研讨会后，工作小组将分析研讨会的成果，并发布研讨会报告，供社区进一步讨论。这类讲习班后的讨论将在因特网上利用网上讨论工具进行。工作组还将积极从更广泛的研究社区中寻找参与者，通过公众访问的网页随时了解情况，并将研讨会结果张贴在研讨会上。三个研讨会将通过一项共同的海啸情景模拟任务提供一个连贯的综合社区协作舞台，并将在各种模拟模型中促进协同进步。这些讲习班的最终目标是通过社区努力实现一个可广泛使用的虚拟海啸模拟平台。一旦完全实施，海啸情景模拟将有助于沿海社区的灾害规划以及科学研究的协调和发展。此外，模拟的综合、高度可视化的特点将对K-12关于海啸危险的教育以及这一领域的一般公众教育具有重要价值。

This action is to support a series of three workshops to initiate, develop, coordinate, and sustain the community effort for scenario simulations for tsunami hazard mitigation. The simulations involve many elements, including tsunami generation, hydrodynamics, warning transmission, evacuation, human behavior, and social and environmental impacts. The goal of the scenario simulation exercise is to give researchers in all aspects of tsunami science and hazards planning an experience similar to that obtained in a real field investigation. In running the simulations and evaluating the results, critical problems will be identified for improvement in each specialized area. The simulation exercise will provide a valuable common background from which to forge and maintain coherence in the broadly distributed multi-disciplinary tsunami community.The idea of tsunami scenario simulations was discussed by the tsunami community at an NSF workshop held in 2002 in Seattle. The participants strongly recommended that an integrated tsunami scenario simulation be developed. The aim of these three workshops is to implement this recommendation through a broadly distributed multi-disciplinary multi-community effort.Three workshops are planned, one each year for the next three years. The first workshop will be designed to initiate the simulation effort, the second workshop will act as a catalyst to expand those activities, and the third will focus on the applications and the use of the developed system. The first workshop is planned for June 2003 at Oregon State University. A working group will be formed to organize and coordinate these workshops. Because of the multi-disciplinary multi-community nature of the scenario simulations, the working group will consist of experts from a wide variety of disciplines. Prior to each workshop, the working group will act as a steering committee. After each workshop, the working group will analyze the workshop outcomes and issue a workshop report for further discussion with the community. Such post- workshop discussions will take place on the Internet utilizing a web-based discussion tool. The working group will also proactively seek participants in the simulation exercise from broader research communities, which will be kept informed via a public-access web page, and on which the workshop results will be posted.The three workshops will provide a coherent integrated community collaborative arena through a common task of tsunami scenario simulations, and will induce synergistic advancement in a wide variety of the simulation models. The ultimate goal of these workshops is to achieve a widely accessible platform for simulation of virtual tsunamis through a community effort. When fully implemented, the tsunami scenario simulations will be useful for hazards planning in coastal communities, and for the coordination and development of scientific research. In addition, the integrated, highly visual character of the simulations will be of great value for K-12 education on tsunami hazards, and for general public education in this area.