Workshop on Collaborative Research through an Integrated Tsunami Scenario Simulation

这一行动是为了支持一系列三个讲习班，以发起、发展、协调和维持社区为减轻海啸危害情景模拟所作的努力。模拟涉及许多因素，包括海啸的产生、流体动力学、警报传递、疏散、人类行为以及社会和环境影响。情景模拟演习的目标是为海啸科学和灾害规划各方面的研究人员提供类似于在真实实地调查中获得的经验。在运行模拟和评估结果时，将确定每个专业领域中需要改进的关键问题。模拟演习将提供一个宝贵的共同背景，在广泛分布的多学科海啸社区中建立和保持一致性。2002年在西雅图举行的美国国家科学基金会研讨会上，海啸界讨论了海啸情景模拟的想法。与会者强烈建议编制一个综合海啸情景模拟。这三个研讨会的目的是通过广泛分布的多学科多社区的努力来实施这一建议。计划举办三次讲习班，未来三年每年举办一次。第一个讲习班将被设计为开始模拟工作，第二个讲习班将作为扩大这些活动的催化剂，而第三个讲习班将集中于已开发系统的应用和使用。第一次研讨会计划于2003年6月在俄勒冈州立大学举行。将成立一个工作组来组织和协调这些讲习班。由于情景模拟的多学科多社区性质，工作组将由来自各种学科的专家组成。在每次讲习班之前，工作组将作为指导委员会。每次工作坊结束后，工作小组将分析工作坊成果，并发布工作坊报告，与社群进一步讨论。这种工作坊后的讨论将利用基于网络的讨论工具在互联网上进行。工作组还将积极地从更广泛的研究团体中寻找模拟练习的参与者，这些研究团体将通过一个公开访问的网页随时了解情况，并将在该网页上公布讲习班的结果。这三个讲习班将通过海啸情景模拟的共同任务提供一个连贯的综合社区协作场所，并将促进各种模拟模型的协同发展。这些讲习班的最终目标是通过社区的努力实现一个广泛访问的模拟虚拟海啸的平台。一旦全面实施，海啸情景模拟将有助于沿海社区的灾害规划以及科学研究的协调和发展。此外，模拟的综合、高度可视化的特点将对K-12海啸灾害教育和这一领域的一般公众教育具有重大价值。

This action is to support a series of three workshops to initiate, develop, coordinate, and sustain the community effort for scenario simulations for tsunami hazard mitigation. The simulations involve many elements, including tsunami generation, hydrodynamics, warning transmission, evacuation, human behavior, and social and environmental impacts. The goal of the scenario simulation exercise is to give researchers in all aspects of tsunami science and hazards planning an experience similar to that obtained in a real field investigation. In running the simulations and evaluating the results, critical problems will be identified for improvement in each specialized area. The simulation exercise will provide a valuable common background from which to forge and maintain coherence in the broadly distributed multi-disciplinary tsunami community.The idea of tsunami scenario simulations was discussed by the tsunami community at an NSF workshop held in 2002 in Seattle. The participants strongly recommended that an integrated tsunami scenario simulation be developed. The aim of these three workshops is to implement this recommendation through a broadly distributed multi-disciplinary multi-community effort.Three workshops are planned, one each year for the next three years. The first workshop will be designed to initiate the simulation effort, the second workshop will act as a catalyst to expand those activities, and the third will focus on the applications and the use of the developed system. The first workshop is planned for June 2003 at Oregon State University. A working group will be formed to organize and coordinate these workshops. Because of the multi-disciplinary multi-community nature of the scenario simulations, the working group will consist of experts from a wide variety of disciplines. Prior to each workshop, the working group will act as a steering committee. After each workshop, the working group will analyze the workshop outcomes and issue a workshop report for further discussion with the community. Such post- workshop discussions will take place on the Internet utilizing a web-based discussion tool. The working group will also proactively seek participants in the simulation exercise from broader research communities, which will be kept informed via a public-access web page, and on which the workshop results will be posted.The three workshops will provide a coherent integrated community collaborative arena through a common task of tsunami scenario simulations, and will induce synergistic advancement in a wide variety of the simulation models. The ultimate goal of these workshops is to achieve a widely accessible platform for simulation of virtual tsunamis through a community effort. When fully implemented, the tsunami scenario simulations will be useful for hazards planning in coastal communities, and for the coordination and development of scientific research. In addition, the integrated, highly visual character of the simulations will be of great value for K-12 education on tsunami hazards, and for general public education in this area.