Workshop on the development of a Tsunami Scenario Simulation Program

0237039，Harry Yeh，华盛顿大学“海啸情景模拟程序开发研讨会“这一行动是为了支持将于2002年9月在华盛顿州西雅图举行的研讨会，以讨论为减轻海啸灾害而进行的全面综合情景模拟的合作研究计划的开发。 模拟内容包括海啸的产生、传播、上升/下降运动、向受灾地区公众发送警报、疏散和救援模拟、人类行为模拟以及短期和长期社会和环境影响模拟。情景模拟演习的目的是让研究人员了解和体验海啸科学和灾害规划的各个方面。 在设置和运行模拟以及评估结果时，将确定每个专业领域和学科间互动中需要改进的关键问题。 这些演习将提供一个宝贵的共同背景，在分布广泛的多学科海啸减灾界形成和保持一致性。 此外，模拟的综合性和高度可视化的特点将对K-12教育海啸灾害和公众信息具有重要价值。（自然和人工计算系统的结构，行为和相互作用的研究），人类行为模型，通信模拟，以及其他将海啸源与其对社区和环境的最终影响相结合的演习。这项活动本质上是一项多大学、多社区和多学科的工作，其目的不是为特定的沿海城镇确定具体的海啸缓解措施。 相反，其目标是为一种假设情况（可以现有的真实的沿海社区为基础）建立一个完全综合的设想方案，由来自各种学科的研究人员进行调查，从不同的角度解决一个共同的问题。 其成果将为参与者、赞助者和沿海社区提供宝贵的经验和从示范活动中吸取的教训，并将加强和保持减少海啸灾害的进一步研究合作。 参与情景模拟，并在共同的问题上工作，将导致每个研究人员与其他专业领域的研究人员密切互动。 研究人员将获得海啸研究的更广泛的画面，并确定关键的问题和联系，以审查为improvement.The研讨会的结果将是一个全面的研究计划，地震工程和灾害规划界，特别是那些谁处理海啸灾害预测和减灾的调查。

0237039, Harry Yeh, University of Washington"Workshop on the development of a Tsunami Scenario Simulation Program"This action is to provide support for a workshop, be held in September 2002 in Seattle, WA, to discuss the development of a collaborative research plan for comprehensive and integrated scenario simulations for tsunami hazard mitigation. The simulations include tsunami generation, propagation, runup/rundown motion, warning transmission to the general public in the affected areas, evacuation and rescue simulations, human behavior simulations, and short-term and long-term societal and environmental impact simulations.The goal of the scenario simulation exercises is to give researchers an awareness and experience of all aspects of tsunami science and hazards planning. In setting up and running the simulations, and in evaluating the results, critical problems will be identified for improvement in each specialized area and in the interaction between disciplines. The exercises will provide a valuable common background from which to forge and maintain coherence in the broadly distributed, multi-disciplinary tsunami hazard mitigation community. In addition, the integrated, highly visual character of the simulations will be of great value for K-12 education on tsunami hazards, and for general public information.The simulation exercises will include physical models, numerical models, informatics (the study of the structure, behavior, and interactions of both natural and artificial computational systems), human behavior models, communication simulations, and other exercises that will integrate the tsunami source with its eventual effects on communities and the environment. This activity is by nature a multi-university, multi-community, and multi-disciplinary effort.The objective is not to determine specific tsunami mitigation measures for specific coastal towns and cities. Instead, the objective is to set up a fully integrated scenario for a hypothetical situation (which could be based on an existing real coastal community) to be investigated by researchers from a wide variety of disciplines, working to solve a common problem from different viewpoints. The outcome will provide the participants, sponsors, and coastal communities with valuable experience, lessons learned from the model event, and will enhance and maintain further research collaboration for tsunami hazard reduction. Involvement in the scenario simulation, and work on the common problem, will lead each researcher to interact closely with researchers in other specialized areas. The researchers will obtain a broader picture for tsunami research, and identify critical problems and linkages to be examined for improvement.The outcome from of the workshop will be a comprehensive research plan for the earthquake engineering and hazards planning communities, in particular for those investigators who deal with tsunami hazard prediction and mitigation.