The Role of Experience in Climate Change Detection, Risk Perception, and Behavior

经验在气候变化检测、风险感知和行为中的作用

• 批准号: 0617965
• 负责人: Anthony Leiserowitz
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Decision Science Research Institute
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2006
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2006-09-01 至 2009-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0617965&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Role; Experience; Climate; Change; Detection

Scientific analysis and predictions of climate change are only one source of information that individuals use to assess risk. For example, factors such as affect, imagery (associations), and values have been found to be stronger predictors of public climate change risk perceptions than knowledge of climate change causes, impacts or solutions, demonstrating that the experiential processing system plays an important role in risk perception and behavior. Yet we still know relatively little about how the actual experience of hazards influences subsequent risk perceptions and behavior in general, and nothing about how people respond to the experience of climate change, both as a gradual shift in average temperatures, and as expressed through particular extreme events.This project investigates the role of experience in climate change detection, risk perception, and behavior in Florida and uses interdisciplinary methods, including ethnographic interviews, a media content analysis, and a representative statewide survey. Florida provides an excellent case study because the state has recently experienced a significant climate shift, has endured two record-setting hurricane seasons (which some scientists attribute, in part, to climate change, although this is controversial), and is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of future climate change.

对气候变化的科学分析和预测只是个人用来评估风险的信息来源之一。例如，影响，意象（协会）和价值观等因素已被发现比气候变化原因，影响或解决方案的知识更能预测公众气候变化风险认知，这表明经验处理系统在风险认知和行为中发挥着重要作用。然而，我们仍然对灾害的实际经历如何影响随后的风险感知和行为知之甚少，也不知道人们如何应对气候变化的经历，无论是平均温度的逐渐变化，还是通过特定的极端事件表达。这个项目调查了经验在气候变化检测，风险感知，和行为在佛罗里达，并使用跨学科的方法，包括民族志采访，媒体内容分析，和一个有代表性的全州调查。佛罗里达提供了一个很好的案例研究，因为该州最近经历了重大的气候变化，经历了两个创纪录的飓风季节（一些科学家将其部分归因于气候变化，尽管这是有争议的），并且特别容易受到未来气候变化的影响。