Collab. Research: Decadal Scale Patterns in Hurricane Activity Over the Last Several Millennia: Exploring Geographic Patterns and Climatic Forcing
Collab. Research: Decadal Scale Patterns in Hurricane Activity Over the Last Several Millennia: Exploring Geographic Patterns and Climatic Forcing
批准号:
0903020
负责人:
Jeffrey Donnelly
金额:
$25.27万
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
2009
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2009-09-15 至 2012-08-31
中文摘要
PI项目被资助研究高沉降率的岩心,这些岩心来自马萨诸塞州科德角、阿巴拉契湾、佛罗里达州和加勒比海格林纳达三个不同地点的海岸屏障后池塘和沉洞,以重建全新世晚期飓风的频率记录。他们还将使用风暴潮模型来检验飓风引起的沉积的重要空间和时间模式,并测试潜在的气候强迫。来自波多黎各的早期数据显示了飓风频率的特定趋势,例如,在过去300年里飓风登陆的次数有所增加。提高对飓风登陆统计数据的长期趋势的理解,对于理解飓风的社会经济影响和未来预测具有重要意义。该研究的广泛影响是强大的:重建研究区域飓风频率/强度的历史,对气候模拟和海岸带管理具有重要意义。研究生支持也包括在内。
英文摘要
The PI's are funded to study high-sedimentation rate cores from coastal back-barrier ponds and sink holes at three different sites on Cape Cod, Massachusetts, Apalachee Bay, Florida, and Grenada in the Caribbean to reconstruct a late Holocene hurricane frequency record. They will also use storm-surge models to examine the significance spatial and temporal patterns in hurricane-induced deposition and test potential climate forcing. Earlier data from Puerto Rico suggests specific trends in hurricane frequency, e.g., an increase in hurricane landfall during the past 300 years. Improving understanding of long-term trends in hurricane landfall statistics is important for understanding the socioeconomic impacts of hurricanes and future projections.Broader impacts of the study are strong: reconstructing the history of hurricane frequency/intensity in the study area with important implications for climate modeling and coastal zone management. Graduate student support is also included.
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