U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability Program (CLIVAR) Project Office Activities, 2009-2014

国际和美国气候变率和可预测性项目办公室（USCLIVAR PO）提供关键的基础设施支持，导致美国和国际研究活动的协调规划和实施，以实现气候变率和可预测性的目标：-与其他相关气候研究和观测项目合作，通过观测资料的收集和分析以及耦合气候系统模式的开发和应用，描述和理解造成季节、年际、年代际和百年时间尺度上气候变率和可预测性的物理过程；-通过收集有质量控制的古气候和仪器数据集，扩展有关时间尺度上气候变率的记录；-通过发展全球耦合预测模式，将季节气候预测的范围和精度扩大到年际气候预测；了解和预测气候系统对辐射活性气体和气溶胶增加的响应，并将这些预测与观测到的气候记录进行比较，以便探测自然气候信号的人为改变。该奖项支持USCLIVAR PO的人员配备、美国科学家参加CLIVAR会议的旅费、开放科学研讨会的资金，以及与沟通CLIVAR发现和机会所需的外展和沟通相关的费用。该提案的智力价值使新的社区驱动的科学计划的发展，研究活动的协调实施，并为美国研究项目机构提供援助，使他们的项目更有效地为双方共同接受的挑战做出贡献。这项拟议的活动所产生的更广泛的影响是，科学界确定了社区、赞助机构和国家感兴趣的新兴气候科学研究课题；评估当前活动以确定规划差距；并催化（跨部门赞助的）研究活动。国家海洋和大气管理局和国家航空航天局提供补充性的共同支持。

The International and U.S. CLIVAR (CLImate VARiability and predictability) Project Offices (USCLIVAR PO) provide critical infrastructure support leading to the coordinated planning and implementation of U.S. and international research activities that address CLIVAR goals which are to: - describe and understand the physical processes responsible for climate variability and predictability on seasonal, inter-annual, decadal, and centennial time-scales, through the collection and analysis of observations and the development and application of models of the coupled climate system, in cooperation with other relevant climate-research and observing programs;- extend the record of climate variability over the time-scales of interest through the assembly of quality-controlled paleoclimatic and instrumental data sets;- extend the range and accuracy of seasonal to inter-annual climate prediction through the development of global coupled predictive models; and - understand and predict the response of the climate system to increases of radiatively active gases and aerosols and to compare these predictions to the observed climate record in order to detect the anthropogenic modification of the natural climate signal.This award supports the USCLIVAR PO staffing, travel by U.S. scientists to participate in CLIVAR meetings, funds for open science workshops, and costs associated with outreach and communications necessary to communicate CLIVAR findings and opportunities. The intellectual merit of this proposal enables development of new community-driven scientific plans, coordination of research activity implementation, and provides assistance to U.S. research program agencies so their programs more effectively contribute towards mutually agreeable challenges. The broader impacts resulting from this proposed activity are that the scientific community identifies emerging climate science research topics of interest to the community, sponsoring agencies, and to the nation; assesses current activities to identify program gaps; and catalyzes (interagency sponsored) research activities. Complementary co-support is provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.