Collaborative Research: Dynamic Risk Perceptions about Mexican Swine Flu

合作研究：对墨西哥猪流感的动态风险认知

• 批准号: 0940018
• 负责人: Alison Galvani
• 金额: $ 5.71万
• 依托单位: Yale University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2009-07-15 至 2010-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0940018&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; Dynamic; Risk; Perceptions

Many decisions are made in the face of risk and uncertainty and under circumstances where each person's individual decision affects other people's outcomes. The 2009 outbreak of swine flu (influenza A H1N1) provides a chance to study how lay people's perceptions of risks change over time and how those perceptions drive willingness to engage in precautionary behaviors (such as anti-viral medication use or self quarantine) that not only have consequences for the person who engages in the behaviors but that also affect the risks for others in the population. The investigators use an internet survey regarding people?s risk perception and willingness to take precautionary measures to query cohorts of US adults starting a few days after the first news of the outbreak and continuing at regular intervals throughout the epidemic. The research examines the relationships over time among information from the media about the influenza outbreak, perceptions of risk, and interest in taking precautionary measures. This outbreak of a new infectious disease represents a rare opportunity to study how risk perceptions and precautionary behaviors change over time in response to information about how the hazard unfolds. The results could have implications not only for public health responses to natural disasters but also for an understanding of the basic mechanisms underlying risk perception and decision making under uncertainty.

面对风险和不确定性，在每个人的个人决定会影响他人的结果的情况下做出许多决定。 2009年的猪流感爆发（流感A H1N1）提供了一个机会，提供了一个机会，可以研究人们对风险的看法如何随着时间而变化，以及这些看法如何推动从事预防行为的意愿（例如抗病毒药物使用或自我隔离），这不仅会对这种行为影响的人产生影响，还影响了其他风险的人。 调查人员使用一项有关人们的风险感知和愿意采取预防措施的互联网调查，以查询美国成年人的同伙，从爆发的第一个新闻开始几天，并在整个流行病中定期延续。该研究研究了媒体中有关流感爆发，风险的看法以及对采取预防措施的兴趣的信息之间的关系。这种新的传染病的爆发代表了一个难得的机会来研究风险感知和预防行为如何随着时间的流逝而变化，以响应有关危害的信息的响应。结果不仅可能对公共卫生对自然灾害的反应产生影响，还可以理解不确定性下的风险感知和决策的基本机制。