Collaborative Research: ETBC--The Cycling of Nitrogen in an Earth System Model: Constraints and Implications for Climate Change

合作研究：ETBC——地球系统模型中的氮循环：气候变化的约束和影响

• 批准号: 1021613
• 负责人: Peter Hess
• 金额: $ 68.72万
• 依托单位: Cornell University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-10-01 至 2016-09-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1021613&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; ETBC; Cycling; Nitrogen

The overarching goals of this project are: 1) to constrain the global budget of reactive nitrogen (Nr) through a combination of numerical simulations, data synthesis and analysis; and 2) to produce initial estimates of the overall interaction between reactive nitrogen cycling and climate. The nitrogen cycle is a key regulator of the Earth's climate system, linking terrestrial, marine, photochemical, and industrial processes, and modulating the carbon cycle. Over the last century and a half, expansion and intensification of agriculture and fossil fuel combustion have led to a more than doubling of Nr emissions to the atmosphere with profound impacts on the earth system. A closed global Nr cycle will be simulated within the CCSM (Community Climate System Model) by tracking Nr across three model domains: (1) atmosphere, (2) land, including native and agroecosystems, and (3) fresh and oceanic waters. While the basis for much of this work has already been developed within the CCSM, the nitrogen cycle has not been coupled across the different model domains. In the fully coupled system, each model domain will simulate the transport and production of Nr within its domain and the chemistry and loss of Nr from its domain, with the requirement that the nitrogen fluxes between the domains be self-consistent. This mass-balanced approach will avoid the untracked losses of Nr that occur when the nitrogen cycle is modeled in isolation within a single domain. Moreover, it will consider the diverse and opposing impacts of Nr on terrestrial carbon sinks and on the radiatively important species nitrous oxide, ozone, methane and aerosol ammonium sulfate. It is hypothesized that the overall effect of a changing Nr cycle on these four atmospheric species will lead to a warming sufficient to offset the cooling associated with increased Nr availability and increased terrestrial carbon uptake.The synthesized datasets for evaluating the nitrogen cycle in Earth System Models, the coupled nitrogen-carbon-climate model developed here, and the simulations with the CCSM will be made broadly available to university and national laboratory communities and will contribute to the upcoming IPCC 5th Assessment. Most of the principal investigators in this project are actively engaged in graduate student education and training, and most participate in undergraduate activities as well. The research will support four additional graduate students and one postdoctoral associate as well as a number of undergraduates. All will become involved in the research activities both at their respective local institutions, as well as across all institutions and disciplines involved in the project.

该项目的总体目标是：1）通过数值模拟，数据合成和分析相结合，限制活性氮（Nr）的全球预算; 2）对活性氮循环和气候之间的总体相互作用进行初步估计。氮循环是地球气候系统的关键调节器，连接陆地，海洋，光化学和工业过程，并调节碳循环。在过去的世纪和半，扩大和加强农业和化石燃料燃烧已导致超过一倍的氮排放到大气中，对地球系统产生深远的影响。将在CCSM（社区气候系统模型）中模拟一个封闭的全球Nr循环，方法是跟踪三个模型域的Nr：（1）大气，（2）土地，包括原生和农业生态系统，以及（3）淡水和海洋沃茨。虽然大部分工作的基础已经在CCSM中开发，但氮循环尚未在不同的模型域中耦合。在完全耦合系统中，每个模型域将模拟Nr在其域内的运输和生产以及Nr从其域的化学和损失，要求域之间的氮通量是自洽的。这种质量平衡的方法将避免Nr的未跟踪的损失时发生的氮循环是孤立地在一个单一的域建模。此外，它将考虑氮对陆地碳汇和对重要辐射物种一氧化二氮、臭氧、甲烷和气溶胶硫酸铵的不同和相反的影响。假设Nr循环的变化对这四种大气物种的总体影响将导致足以抵消与Nr可用性增加和陆地碳吸收增加相关的冷却的变暖。CCSM的模拟将广泛提供给大学和国家实验室社区，并将为即将到来的IPCC第五次评估做出贡献。本研究的主要研究者大多数都积极参与研究生教育和培训，大多数也参与本科生活动。该研究将支持另外四名研究生和一名博士后助理以及一些本科生。所有人都将参与各自当地机构以及参与该项目的所有机构和学科的研究活动。