ICES: Large: Collaborative: The Role of Space, Time and Information in Controlling Epidemics

ICES：大：协作：空间、时间和信息在控制流行病中的作用

• 批准号: 1216038
• 负责人: Rajmohan Rajaraman
• 金额: $ 27.5万
• 依托单位: Northeastern University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2012
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2012-07-01 至 2016-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1216038&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: ICES; Large; Collaborative; Role; Space

The control of epidemics, broadly defined to range from human diseases such as influenza and smallpox to malware in communication networks, relies crucially on interventions such as vaccinations and anti-virals (in human diseases) or software patches (for malware). These interventions are almost always voluntary directives from public agencies; however, people do not always adhere to such recommendations, and make individual decisions based on their specific "self interest". Additionally, people alter their contacts dynamically, and these behavioral changes have a huge impact on the dynamics and the effectiveness of these interventions, so that "good" intervention strategies might, in fact, be ineffective, depending upon the individual response. The goal of this project is to study the foundations of policy design for controlling epidemics, using a broad class of epidemic games on complex networks involving uncertainty in network information, temporal evolution and learning. Models will be proposed to capture the complexity of static and temporal interactions and patterns of information exchange, including the possibility of failed interventions and the potential for moral hazard. The project will also study specific policies posed by public agencies and network security providers for controlling the spread of epidemics and malware, and will develop resource constrained mechanisms to implement them in this framework.This project will integrate approaches from Computer Science, Economics, Mathematics, and Epidemiology to give intellectual unity to the study and design of public health policies and has the potential for strong dissertation work in all these areas. Education and outreach is an important aspect of the project, and includes curriculum development at both the graduate and under-graduate levels. A multi-disciplinary workshop is also planned as part of the project.

流行病的控制范围很广，从流感和天花等人类疾病到通信网络中的恶意软件，关键取决于疫苗接种和抗病毒药物（人类疾病）或软件补丁（恶意软件）等干预措施。这些干预措施几乎总是来自公共机构的自愿指令;然而，人们并不总是遵守这些建议，并根据其具体的“自身利益”作出个人决定。 此外，人们动态地改变他们的接触，这些行为变化对这些干预措施的动态和有效性产生巨大影响，因此，“好”的干预策略实际上可能是无效的，这取决于个人的反应。 该项目的目标是研究控制流行病的政策设计的基础，在涉及网络信息不确定性、时间演变和学习的复杂网络上使用广泛的流行病游戏。 将提出模型，以捕捉静态和时间的相互作用和信息交换模式的复杂性，包括失败的干预措施的可能性和潜在的道德风险。该项目还将研究公共机构和网络安全提供商提出的控制流行病和恶意软件传播的具体政策，并将开发资源约束机制，以在此框架内实施这些政策。该项目将整合计算机科学，经济学，数学，和流行病学给予知识统一的研究和公共卫生政策的设计，并在所有这些领域的强大的论文工作的潜力。教育和外联是该项目的一个重要方面，包括在研究生和本科生两级编制课程。 作为该项目的一部分，还计划举办一个多学科讲习班。