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AGS-PRF Impacts of Large-Scale Dynamics on Regional Climate Sensitivity: Model-Paleodata Comparisons in Three Mid-Latitude Regions

AGS-PRF Impacts of Large-Scale Dynamics on Regional Climate Sensitivity: Model-Paleodata Comparisons in Three Mid-Latitude Regions
大尺度动力学对区域气候敏感性的 AGS-PRF 影响:三个中纬度地区的模型古数据比较
批准号:
1524866
负责人:
Juan Lora
金额:
$17.2万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Fellowship Award
财政年份:
2015
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2015-08-01 至 2017-07-31

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中文摘要
翻译
这项AGS博士后研究人员(PRF)奖励支持末次极大期(LGM)和现代气候模拟的比较,从一般环流模式到古气候代理数据,以研究影响区域气候的动力机制。这一分析将有助于确定三个中纬度地区LGM区域气候的主导大尺度机制,并阐明区域古数据解释大尺度古气候现象的能力。用于预测未来气候变化的气候模型将以作为过去气候参数代理的古数据为基准,从而测试这些模型正确模拟过去气候状态的能力,并帮助确保产生区域响应的动力过程得到很好的代表和适当的模拟。反过来,这将有助于评估模型在不同于当前气候条件下的区域能力,为这些模型的未来改进和发展提供信息。主要关注的是行星尺度动力学对区域尺度温度变化和水文循环的影响。研究员将在中国黄土高原、美国西南部和美国中西部等三个地区研究中纬度平稳波和季风动力等现象对大气和地表温度及降水的影响,目的是量化模式的区域敏感性。古气候模拟比对项目(PMIP)模拟模式运行的输出将与作为这三个地区温度和水文循环代用物的已发表数据集进行比较。研究员将进一步研究已查明的动力机制,包括它们对边界和强迫不确定性的敏感性,方法是使用msamtsamorologie Dynamique (LMDZ)模型。该项目有助于提高对跨时间尺度气候变率的区域响应和重要外联活动的理解。Markham中学的学生主要是西班牙裔和非裔加勒比人,该中学将开展推广活动,目的是改善对少数民族的科学传播和教育。此外,明年将与该研究员一起工作的一名本科生也是来自科学界代表性不足的少数群体。作为另一项扩大参与的活动,该研究员将在促进奇卡诺人和美洲原住民科学协会(SACNAS)的加州大学洛杉矶分校分会就拟议的研究发表科学演讲,并将从SACNAS分会招募一名本科生,在奖学金的第二年参与研究和推广活动。
英文摘要
This AGS PostDoctoral Research Fellow (PRF) award supports the comparison of simulations of last glacial maximum (LGM) and present-day climates from general circulation models to paleoclimatic proxy data to investigate dynamical mechanisms that affect regional climates. This analysis will help to determine the dominant large-scale mechanisms affecting the regional climates at LGM of three mid-latitude regions, as well as clarify the ability of regional paleodata to elucidate large-scale paleoclimatic phenomena. Climate models that are used to predict future climate changes will be benchmarked against paleodata that serve as proxies for past climate parameters thereby testing the ability of these models to correctly simulate past climate states and helping to ensure that dynamical processes involved in generating regional responses are well represented and properly simulated. This, in turn, will help assess the regional capabilities of models under climates different than the current, informing future improvements and development of these models.Of principal interest is the influence of planetary-scale dynamics on regional-scale changes in temperature and the hydrological cycle. The Fellow will examine the effects of such phenomena as mid-latitudinal stationary waves and monsoon dynamics on atmospheric and surface temperatures and precipitation in three regions including the Chinese Loess Plateau, the southwestern United States, and the midwestern United States with the aim of quantifying the regional sensitivities in the models. Output from Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) simulation model runs will be compared to published datasets that serve as proxies for temperatures and the hydrological cycle in these three regions. The Fellow will further investigate identified dynamical mechanisms, including their sensitivities to boundary and forcing uncertainties by use of the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMDZ) model. This project helps to improve understanding surrounding regional response to climate variability across temporal scales and significant outreach activities. Outreach activities to be conducted at Markham Middle School, whose students are predominantly Hispanic and Afro-Caribbean, are intended for improving science communication and education to minorities. Also, one of the undergraduates who will work with the Fellow over the next year is also from an underrepresented minority in the sciences. As an additional broadening participation exercise, the Fellow will give a science talk about the proposed research at the UCLA chapter of the Society for the Advancement of Chicanos and Native Americans in Science (SACNAS), and will furthermore recruit an undergraduate student from the SACNAS chapter to be involved in the research and outreach activities during the second year of the fellowship.
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