RAPID: Collaborative: The Legitimacy of Negotiated Peace: Social Preferences, Victimhood, and the Peace Process.

快速：协作：和平谈判的合法性：社会偏好、受害者和和平进程。

• 批准号: 1528443
• 负责人: Gregory Love
• 金额: $ 3.19万
• 依托单位: University of Mississippi
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2015
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2015-04-01 至 2016-03-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1528443&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Collaborative; Legitimacy; Negotiated; Peace

General SummaryThis project examines how basic pro-social orientations and victimhood influence the public's support for potential outcomes of the ongoing peace negotiations. Peace negotiators must agree on issues such as jail time, the truth, demobilization, reparations, and socio-political re-integration. Public opinion towards such outcomes is crucial since any eventual peace deal must ultimately be ratified by the electorate. We measure pro-social orientations by observing individuals' levels of (1) altruism, (2) trust, (3) reciprocity, (4) willingness to uphold fairness norms even at some personal cost. We conceive of the nature of victimhood in terms of who the perpetrator was and how recently and directly one has been victimized. Pro-sociality and victimhood (and their interplay) should help understand public opinion formation towards the negotiated peace outcomes. Using negotiations between the Colombian government and the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) guerrillas as the case of interest, results of the study will hold lessons for political leaders and policymakers who are tasked with both reaching a peace agreement and, subsequently, designing post-conflict institutions to sustain peace and foster social cohesion. Technical SummaryTo study how social preferences and the nature of victimhood influence public opinion formation surrounding aspects of negotiated peace, we embed game-theoretic behavioral measures of social preferences in a large online survey administered by a professional survey firm. Altruism is measured via dictator games. Trust and reciprocity are measured in the context of a trust game. Costly punishment, i.e. strong negative reciprocity, is gauged using a Third-Party Punishment game. Subjects are randomly assigned to one role in each of these games. Afterwards, they respond to question batteries tapping (1) preferences for potential outcomes of the Colombian government-FARC peace talks and (2) nature of victimhood. The order of these two batteries will be randomized to permit a partial test of the exogeneity of social preferences to victimhood. To explore this and other questions related to victimhood and opinion formation towards the peace process more deeply, we will conduct 4 focus groups with victims groups in Bogotá and in the conflict zone. The project explores how pro-sociality influence the politics of conflict resolution in contemporary polities. At the same time, it will test the proposition that the effect of social preferences on policy preferences towards peace and justice cannot be divorced from the degree and nature victimhood in post-conflict societies.

本项目考察了基本的亲社会倾向和受害者身份如何影响公众对正在进行的和平谈判的潜在结果的支持。和平谈判者必须就监禁时间、真相、复员、赔偿和社会政治重返社会等问题达成一致。公众舆论对这种结果至关重要，因为任何最终的和平协议最终都必须得到选民的批准。我们通过观察个人的（1）利他主义，（2）信任，（3）互惠，（4）即使在一些个人成本上也愿意维护公平规范的水平来衡量亲社会取向。我们根据犯罪者是谁以及受害者最近和直接受害的程度来理解受害者的性质。亲社会性和受害性（及其相互作用）应有助于理解公众舆论对谈判达成的和平成果的形成。利用哥伦比亚政府与哥伦比亚革命武装力量（FARC）游击队之间的谈判作为感兴趣的案例，研究结果将为政治领导人和决策者提供经验教训，他们的任务是达成和平协议，并随后设计冲突后机构，以保持和平和促进社会凝聚力。技术摘要为了研究社会偏好和受害者的性质如何影响围绕谈判和平方面的公众舆论形成，我们将社会偏好的博弈论行为测量嵌入到由专业调查公司管理的大型在线调查中。利他主义通过独裁者游戏来衡量。信任和互惠是在信任博弈的背景下衡量的。代价高昂的惩罚，即强负互惠，是衡量使用第三方惩罚游戏。受试者被随机分配到每个游戏中的一个角色。之后，他们回答问题电池挖掘（1）哥伦比亚政府-哥伦比亚革命武装力量和平谈判的潜在结果的偏好和（2）受害者的性质。这两组的顺序将被随机化，以允许对社会偏好对受害者身份的外生性进行部分测试。为了更深入地探讨这一问题以及与受害者和对和平进程形成意见有关的其他问题，我们将与博戈塔和冲突地区的受害者群体举行4次重点小组会议。该项目探讨了亲社会性如何影响当代政治中解决冲突的政治。与此同时，它将检验这样一个命题，即社会偏好对和平与正义政策偏好的影响不能与冲突后社会受害的程度和性质相分离。