In a warming world, what drives cooling and freshening in the South Pacific Ocean?

在气候变暖的世界中，是什么推动了南太平洋的冷却和清新？

• 批准号: 1658001
• 负责人: Ivana Cerovecki
• 金额: $ 49万
• 依托单位: University of California-San Diego Scripps Inst of Oceanography
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2017-04-01 至 2021-03-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1658001&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: warming; world; what; drives; cooling

As a whole the earth is warming. Yet cooling and freshening have been observed in the Southeastern Pacific, in the well-instrumented period of 2006 to 2013. At the same time freshwater export by meridional transport of Antarctic sea-ice has shown a positive trend that is strongest in the South Pacific Ocean. This project will investigate the mechanism of this recent South Pacific cooling and freshening trend. Of particular interest is the role of sea ice in the generation of fresh water and the modulation of air-sea flux heat fluxes. The proposed work will contribute to understanding of the Southern Ocean (SO) response to climate change, including changes in the upper ocean heat and freshwater content, sea-ice cover and melt water export. These results are relevant for other disciplines such as biogeochemistry, and will guide our understanding of carbon cycle changes. The results will be published in scientific journals and presented at major meetings. The project outreach components include plans to advise one undergraduate student per year through the Scripps Institution of Oceanography Undergraduate Research Fellowship (SURF) Research Experiences for Undergraduates (REU) program as well as plans for a 5-day workshop series for high school science teachers to help them develop tools and strategies for teaching the most up-to-date scientific results that are of significant importance for wide, non-scientific community. The overall goal is to understand the interconnections between sea ice, ocean, and atmosphere, to describe the mechanisms that govern these changes, as well as their interannual to interdecadal variability. Strong changes observed in the Southern Ocean in recent decades represent significant perturbations to the upper ocean heat and freshwater content and seem to have significant impact on carbon content, as well. Changes in sea-ice cover are strongly linked to observed changes in the Southern Ocean hydrography and to changes in air-sea buoyancy fluxes. The physical processes governing the temporal and spatial variability of individual components will be interpreted in relation to the variability in formation rates of the major Southern Ocean water masses. This will facilitate identification of locations where the ocean is most strongly coupled to the atmosphere, and thus most sensitive to atmospheric changes, providing valuable information on the observational requirements on the atmospheric and sea-ice state needed to accurately describe and interpret Southern ocean hydrology. While the proposed work will focus on water mass transformation processes in the Southern Ocean, the results are likely to be applicable for understanding global meridional overturning circulation, and the methods applied here should be extendable to the Northern Hemisphere as well. The project will lead to an assessment of the accuracy of existing flux measurements, an evaluation of the sensitivity of water mass transformation processes to flux definitions and a dissemination of the resulting requirements to the Global Ocean Observing System and the Global Climate Observing system planning groups.

整个地球正在变暖。然而，在2006年至2013年期间，在东南太平洋观察到了冷却和清新。与此同时，南极海冰经赤道输送的淡水输出已显示出积极的趋势，在南太平洋最为强劲。本项目将调查南太平洋最近变冷和变淡趋势的机制。特别令人感兴趣的是海冰在产生淡水和调节海气通量热通量方面的作用。拟议的工作将有助于了解南大洋对气候变化的反应，包括上层海洋热量和淡水含量、海冰覆盖和融水输出的变化。这些结果与地球化学等其他学科有关，并将指导我们对碳循环变化的理解。研究结果将发表在科学期刊上，并在重要会议上介绍。该项目的外展组成部分包括计划通过海洋学本科研究奖学金（SURF）研究经验的本科生（REU）计划，以及为高中科学教师为期5天的研讨会系列计划，以帮助他们开发工具和策略，用于教授最新的科学成果，这些成果对广泛，非科学界。总体目标是了解海冰，海洋和大气之间的相互联系，描述控制这些变化的机制，以及它们的年际到年代际变化。近几十年来在南大洋观测到的强烈变化表明，上层海洋热量和淡水含量受到了重大扰动，似乎也对碳含量产生了重大影响。海冰覆盖的变化与观测到的南大洋水文变化和海气浮力通量的变化密切相关。将结合南大洋主要水团形成率的变化来解释支配各个组成部分的时间和空间变化的物理过程。这将有助于确定海洋与大气耦合最强的位置，从而对大气变化最敏感，提供关于准确描述和解释南大洋水文所需的大气和海冰状态观测要求的宝贵信息。虽然拟议的工作将集中在南大洋的水团转换过程，其结果可能是适用于了解全球纬向翻转环流，这里应用的方法应该扩展到北方半球以及。该项目将评估现有通量测量的准确性，评价水团变化过程对通量定义的敏感性，并向全球海洋观测系统和全球气候观测系统规划小组传播由此产生的要求。

项目成果

Effects of Buoyancy and Wind Forcing on Southern Ocean Climate Change

• DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0877.1
• 发表时间: 2020-12
• 期刊: Journal of Climate
• 影响因子: 4.9
• 作者: Jia‐Rui Shi;L. Talley;S. Xie;Wei Liu;S. Gille

Episodic Southern Ocean Heat Loss and Its Mixed Layer Impacts Revealed by the Farthest South Multiyear Surface Flux Mooring

• DOI: 10.1029/2017gl076909
• 发表时间: 2018-05-28
• 期刊: GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
• 影响因子: 5.2
• 作者: Ogle, S. E.;Tamsitt, V.;Weller, R. A.
• 通讯作者: Weller, R. A.

A See‐Saw in Pacific Subantarctic Mode Water Formation Driven by Atmospheric Modes

• DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085280
• 发表时间: 2019-11
• 期刊: Geophysical Research Letters
• 影响因子: 5.2
• 作者: A. Meijers;I. Cerovečki;B. King;V. Tamsitt

Remotely Sensed Winds and Wind Stresses for Marine Forecasting and Ocean Modeling

• DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00443
• 发表时间: 2010-12
• 期刊: Frontiers in Marine Science
• 影响因子: 3.7
• 作者: M. Bourassa;T. Meissner;I. Cerovečki;P. Chang;Xiaolong Dong;G. de Chiara;C. Donlon;D. Dukhovskoy;J. Elya;A. Fore;M. Fewings;R. Foster;S. Gille;B. Haus;S. Hristova-Veleva;H. Holbach;Z. Jelenak;J. Knaff;S. Kranz;A. Manaster;M. Mazloff;C. Mears;A. Mouche;M. Portabella;N. Reul;L. Ricciardulli;E. Rodríguez;C. Sampson;Daniel Solis;A. Stoffelen;M. Stukel;B. Stiles;D. Weissman;F. Wentz

Physical Drivers of Phytoplankton Bloom Initiation in the Southern Ocean's Scotia Sea

南大洋斯科舍海浮游植物大量繁殖的物理驱动因素

• DOI: 10.1029/2019jc015162
• 发表时间: 2019
• 期刊: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
• 作者: Prend, Channing J.;Gille, Sarah T.;Talley, Lynne D.;Mitchell, B. Greg;Rosso, Isabella;Mazloff, Matthew R.
• 通讯作者: Mazloff, Matthew R.