Insurance Markets: Guaranteed Return Products and Graduate Student Training Workshops

这项研究项目将调查自2007/2008年金融危机以来可变年金(VA)市场迅速衰落和缺乏复苏的原因。退伍军人保险市场约占美国寿险公司负债的40%，随着固定收益养老金计划随着时间的推移而下降，越来越多的美国人口依赖退伍军人市场来支持养老。然而，人们对这个市场知之甚少-它是如何运作的，它是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。拟议的研究包括两个部分。该研究项目的第一部分将从各种来源收集大量数据，并利用这些数据来研究2007/2008年金融危机以来退伍军人管理局市场急剧下滑的根源。研究项目的第二部分重点是开发一门课程，培训学生进行可变年金市场运作的研究。为这个项目收集的数据将提供给其他研究人员，这将鼓励对这个市场进行更多的研究。鉴于可变年金在退休计划中的重要性日益增加，以及对这一市场缺乏了解，这项研究项目的结果可能会导致更好的政策，以加强退伍军人管理局市场，从而鼓励更好的退休计划。保险对家庭福利很重要，人寿保险公司在金融中介市场上发挥着重要作用。可变年金(VA)市场占美国寿险公司负债的近40%，但人们对这一市场的运作知之甚少。这一市场在2007/2008年金融危机期间经历了大幅下滑，此后再也没有反弹。这个研究项目将从各种来源收集大量的面板数据，并利用它来调查市场下跌的来源。在分析市场下跌时，研究重点是供给侧和需求侧因素。庞大而丰富的面板数据集将使PI能够确定市场下跌中供求方面因素的影响来源，并测试关于市场在金融危机期间下跌的三种不同假设。研究的第二部分将开发一个课程，教研究生对退伍军人管理局市场的各个方面进行研究。这项研究项目的结果不仅将使我们更好地了解可变年金市场和一般人寿保险，还将帮助政策制定者设计更好的政策，以鼓励明智的退休规划。通过这样做，拟议的研究将有助于长期储蓄、稳定的退休收入和美国经济的稳定。

This research project will investigate the causes of the rapid decline in and lack of revival of the variable annuities (VA) market since the 2007/2008 financial crises. The VA market accounts for about 40% of life insurer liabilities in the U.S. and ever increasing proportion of the US population has come to rely on it for old age support as defined benefit pension plans have declined over time. Yet very little is known about this market---how it operates and how it changes over time. The proposed research has two parts. The first part of this research project will assemble a large data set from various sources and use this data set to study the sources of the sharp decline in the VA market since the 2007/2008 financial crisis. The second part of the research project focuses on developing a course to train students to conduct research in the operation of the variable annuities market. The data collected for this project, which will be made available to other researchers, will encourage more research into this market. Given the increasing importance of variable annuities in retirement planning and the lack of understanding of this market, the results of this research project could lead to better policies to strengthen the VA market hence encourage better retirement planning. Insurance is important for household welfare and life insurers play an important role in the market for financial intermediation. The variable annuities (VA) market makes up almost 40% of life insurer liabilities in the U.S., yet very little is understood about the functioning of this market. This market witnessed a sharp decline during the 2007/2008 financial crisis and has not rebounded since. This research project will assemble a large panel data set from various sources and use it to investigate the sources of the market decline. The research focuses on both supply and demand side factors in analyzing the market decline. The large rich panel data set will allow the PI to identify the sources of the effects of supply and demand side factors in the market's decline as well as test three different hypotheses as to why the market declined during the financial crisis. The second part of the study will develop a curriculum to teach graduate students to do research on various aspects of the VA market. The results of this research project will not only give us a better understanding of the variable annuity markets and life insurance generally; it will also help policy makers design better policies to encourage informed planning for retirement. By so doing, the proposed research will contribute to long-term savings, stable retirement incomes, and the stability of the U.S. economy.