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Improving our understanding of vorticity development in supercells through novel thermodynamic observations and an improved treatment of the near-surface layer in simulations

通过新颖的热力学观测和改进模拟中近地表层的处理，提高我们对超级单体中涡度发展的理解

基本信息

批准号：
1821885
负责人：
Paul Markowski
金额：
$ 116.84万
依托单位：
Pennsylvania State Univ University Park
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
Standard Grant
财政年份：
2018
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2018-09-01 至 2023-08-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1821885&HistoricalAwards=false
关键词：
Improving our understanding vorticity development

项目摘要

This research seeks to improve our understanding of the processes occurring within severe "supercell" thunderstorms that control the development of near-surface vertical vorticity (or "spin"), possible intensification to tornado strength, and the evolution thereafter. This project targets two aspects of supercell storms that are notoriously difficult to simulate and observe: (1) the influence of the buoyancy field and its horizontal gradients and (2) the influence of the underlying surface. The observational and numerical modeling methods are innovative and have the potential to be transformative, not only in the severe storms community, but in other scientific communities as well. This work will address a long-standing, critical need in the severe storms community, obtaining fine-scale 3D thermodynamic observations within storms? The PIs will also develop a permanent exhibit at a local, non-profit museum educating the public on severe storms, which will be a valuable contribution to the community. Historically, the PIs have been involved in a broad range of outreach activities, including K-12 and public education, the participation as science advisors for government groups and media, and publishing articles accessible to a broad audience. The PIs plan to undertake the following tasks: 1) sample supercell storms using pseudo-Lagrangian drifters and 2) use improved turbulence methods to study frictionally generated vorticity; both approaches are novel and creative. The use of pseudo-Lagrangian drifters to observe the 3D structure of the boundary layer surrounding and within supercells, capable of obtaining observations within the most dangerous and critical parts of the storm with minimal safety risks to the observer, is novel. This new observational tool will be used to obtain quasi-Lagrangian observations of wind and thermodynamic characteristics in the boundary layer extending into the core of the supercell, including in the cold pools which have been shown to be critical in developing sufficient near surface streamwise vorticity for tornadogenesis.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

这项研究旨在提高我们对严重的“超级单体”雷暴中发生的过程的理解，这些雷暴控制着近地面垂直涡度（或“旋转”）的发展，可能加剧龙卷风强度，以及此后的演变。该项目针对超级单体风暴的两个方面，这是众所周知的难以模拟和观察：（1）浮力场及其水平梯度的影响和（2）下垫面的影响。观测和数值建模方法是创新的，不仅在强风暴界，而且在其他科学界都有变革的潜力。这项工作将解决一个长期存在的，严重的风暴社区的关键需求，获得风暴内的精细尺度三维热力学观测？PI还将在当地的一个非营利性博物馆举办一个永久性展览，教育公众了解严重的风暴，这将是对社区的宝贵贡献。从历史上看，PI参与了广泛的外展活动，包括K-12和公共教育，作为政府团体和媒体的科学顾问参与，以及发表面向广大受众的文章。PI计划承担以下任务：1）使用伪拉格朗日漂移器对超级单体风暴进行采样; 2）使用改进的湍流方法研究湍流生成的涡度;这两种方法都是新颖的和创造性的。使用伪拉格朗日漂移器来观察超级单体周围和内部边界层的3D结构，能够在对观察者的安全风险最小的情况下在风暴的最危险和最关键的部分内获得观测结果，这是新颖的。这一新的观测工具将用于获得延伸到超级单体核心的边界层中风和热力学特征的准拉格朗日观测，包括在冷池中，这些冷池已被证明在形成足够的近地表流向涡度以形成龙卷风方面至关重要。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识产权进行评估，被认为值得支持。优点和更广泛的影响审查标准。

项目成果

期刊论文数量（11）

专著数量（0）

科研奖励数量（0）

会议论文数量（0）

专利数量（0）

What is the Intrinsic Predictability of Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorms?

DOI：
10.1175/mwr-d-20-0076.1
发表时间：
2020-08
期刊：
Monthly Weather Review
影响因子：
3.2
作者：
P. Markowski
通讯作者：
P. Markowski

Processes Preventing the Development of a Significant Tornado in a Colorado Supercell on 26 May 2010

2010 年 5 月 26 日阻止科罗拉多超级单体形成严重龙卷风的过程

DOI：
10.1175/mwr-d-19-0288.1
发表时间：
2020
期刊：
Monthly Weather Review
影响因子：
3.2
作者：
Murdzek, Shawn S.;Markowski, Paul M.;Richardson, Yvette P.;Tanamachi, Robin L.
通讯作者：
Tanamachi, Robin L.

Circulation Around a Constrained Curve: An Alternative Analysis Tool for Diagnosing the Origins of Tornado Rotation in Numerical Supercell Simulations

围绕约束曲线的循环：用于诊断数值超胞模拟中龙卷风旋转起源的替代分析工具