CAREER: Coordinating climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies across the energy-water nexus: An integrated research and education framework

职业：协调能源-水关系中的气候变化减缓和适应战略：综合研究和教育框架

• 批准号: 1845931
• 负责人: Kelly Sanders
• 金额: $ 50.75万
• 依托单位: University of Southern California
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2019-02-15 至 2024-09-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1845931&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: CAREER; Coordinating; climate; change; mitigation

This research will develop conceptual models (1) to quantify how climate influences the operational and environmental performance of electric power generation resources within the power sector; (2) to evaluate the opportunities and challenges associated with emerging consumer demand, and (3) to develop quantitative metrics to compare tradeoffs across these diverse supply and demand resources, particularly as they relate to climate mitigation, adaptation, and environmental sustainability priorities. Each objective leverages insights and methods established through past energy-water nexus work by the Principal Investigator (PI). The project will build a foundation for the PI's long-term goal of creating more robust, adaptive, and sustainable power systems by coordinating the behavior of power suppliers and power consumers through market structures and automation to maximize the power sector's environmental sustainability, resilience to disruption, and efficiency.This CAREER project utilizes physics-based modeling techniques to build a statistical framework that offers probabilistic insight into how climate change might affect the operation and environmental externalities of the power sector across a continuum of historical through extreme climate change projections. Frameworks are designed to compare conventional and emerging supply-side and demand-side resources through the lens of the challenges imposed by future warming. In the energy sector, the knowledge developed through this CAREER project promises to be an important step to enable new methodologies to inform and assess tradeoffs for electric infrastructure build-outs, DSM interventions, future electricity market structures, and real-time pricing strategies that consider regional and environmental conditions (rather than reliability and cost alone). The project's generalized statistical framework could also be applied to assess how other critical infrastructures, such as water, agricultural and transportation systems, vary in terms of their climate vulnerability, mitigation, and adaptation tradeoffs. This framework also allows analysts to present stakeholders with anticipated performance tradeoffs across a probabilistic distribution of climate conditions, rather than a single projection that might be contentious in some stakeholder groups. Annual outreach events leveraging the PI's role as a Resident Faculty at USC will connect underserved K-12 groups with freshmen in the PI's dormitory, creating a spirit of mentorship, while empowering underserved minorities with the knowledge to advocate for their own environmental justice. These events will utilize the Parkside Interactive Sustainability Laboratory, a community gardening space built by the PI to introduce students to sustainability through activity-based environmental programming. The themes, data, and models generated through this project will be incorporated into the PI's existing undergraduate and graduate classes, where students will be challenged to create web-based educational content for younger students to facilitate knowledge sharing. In the broader context, drought and heatwaves have already prompted significant power curtailments across the world. Considering that installed generation capacity is projected to grow by 140% globally by 2040, generalized frameworks to improve and protect the performance of the power grid within the context of regional climate will be critical for making wise investment decisions. By connecting K-12, undergraduate, graduate students and their broader social and policy-making communities, progress will be made in educating a diverse workforce, prepared to address society's critical challenges.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

这项研究将开发概念模型（1），以量化气候如何影响电力部门发电资源的运营和环境性能； （2）评估与新兴消费者需求相关的机遇和挑战，以及（3）开发定量指标，以比较这些多样化的供应和需求资源的权衡，尤其是与气候缓解，适应，环境可持续性优先级相关。每个目标都利用首席研究员（PI）通过过去的能量水联系起来建立的见解和方法。该项目将通过通过市场结构和自动化来协调电力供应商和动力消费者的行为，从而为PI的长期目标创造更强大，适应性和可持续的电力系统，从而最大程度地利用基于物理学的工具来实现统计范围，从而可以将其构建方式构建，从而可以将其构建范围内的工具来实现，从而实现了统一的范围，该项目利用了统一的框架，该项目利用了统计的框架，该项目的范围可最大程度地提高电力供应商和动力消费者的行为。通过极端气候变化预测，电力部门的环境外部性在历史上连续。框架旨在通过未来变暖所面临的挑战的角度比较传统和新兴的供应方和需求方面的资源。在能源领域，通过该职业项目发展的知识有望成为使新方法的重要一步，以便为电力基础设施建设，DSM干预，未来的电力市场结构以及实时定价策略提供信息和评估折衷，这些策略考虑了区域和环境条件（而不是可靠性和单独的可靠性和成本）。该项目的广义统计框架也可以应用于评估其他关键基础设施（例如水，农业和运输系统）如何在其气候脆弱性，缓解和适应权方面有所不同。该框架还允许分析师在气候条件的概率分布中向利益相关者提供预期的绩效权衡，而不是在某些利益相关者群体中可能有争议的单个预测。利用PI作为USC居民的角色的年度外展活动将与PI的宿舍中的新生联系起来，创造了指导精神，同时赋予服务不足的少数民族的知识来倡导自己的环境正义。这些事件将利用Parkside Interactive可持续性实验室，这是PI建立的社区园艺空间，旨在通过基于活动的环境编程向学生介绍可持续性。通过该项目生成的主题，数据和模型将被纳入PI现有的本科和研究生班，在这里，学生将受到挑战，以创建基于网络的教育内容，以供年轻学生促进知识共享。在更广泛的背景下，干旱和热浪已经促使全世界大大减少了电力。考虑到到2040年，安装发电能力预计将在全球范围内增长140％，因此在区域气候的背景下改善和保护电网性能的广义框架对于做出明智的投资决策至关重要。通过连接K-12，本科生，研究生及其更广泛的社会和政策制定社区，将取得进步，以教育多样化的员工，准备应对社会的关键挑战。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并认为通过基金会的知识分子和更广泛的影响审查Criteria来评估，这是值得通过评估的支持。

项目成果

Reclaiming wastewater with increasing salinity for potable water reuse: Water recovery and energy consumption during reverse osmosis desalination

• DOI: 10.1016/j.desal.2021.115316
• 发表时间: 2021-12
• 期刊: Desalination
• 影响因子: 9.9
• 作者: Xin Wei;K. Sanders;Amy E. Childress

Energy use for urban water management by utilities and households in Los Angeles

洛杉矶公用事业和家庭用于城市水管理的能源使用

• DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ab5e20
• 发表时间: 2020
• 期刊: Environmental Research Communications
• 影响因子: 2.9
• 作者: Porse, Erik;Mika, Kathryn B.;Escriva-Bou, Alvar;Fournier, Eric D.;Sanders, Kelly T.;Spang, Edward;Stokes-Draut, Jennifer;Federico, Felicia;Gold, Mark;Pincetl, Stephanie
• 通讯作者: Pincetl, Stephanie

How do non-carbon priorities affect zero-carbon electricity systems? A case study of freshwater consumption and cost for Senate Bill 100 compliance in California

• DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.114824
• 发表时间: 2020-05
• 期刊: Applied Energy
• 影响因子: 11.2
• 作者: Brian Tarroja;R. Peer;K. Sanders;E. Grubert

Using neural networks to forecast marginal emissions factors: A CAISO case study

使用神经网络预测边际排放因子：CAISO 案例研究

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139895
• 发表时间: 2024
• 期刊: Journal of Cleaner Production
• 影响因子: 11.1
• 作者: Mayes, Stepp;Klein, Nicholas;Sanders, Kelly T
• 通讯作者: Sanders, Kelly T

Spatially Allocating Life Cycle Water Use for US Coal‐Fired Electricity across Producers, Generators, and Consumers

• DOI: 10.1002/ente.201901497
• 发表时间: 2020-03
• 期刊: Energy Technology
• 影响因子: 3.8
• 作者: Measrainsey Meng;E. Grubert;R. Peer;K. Sanders