Doctoral Dissertation Research in DRMS: Resilience for Whom: A Climate Mobility Framework for Evaluating Equity Outcomes in Climate Resilience Decision Making

DRMS 博士论文研究：为谁而生的复原力：评估气候复原力决策中公平结果的气候流动性框架

• 批准号: 2049887
• 负责人: Elizabeth Anderson
• 金额: $ 2.27万
• 依托单位: Florida International University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2021
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2021-02-15 至 2023-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2049887&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Doctoral; Dissertation; Research; DRMS; Resilience

Sea level rise is increasing extreme sea level events, including high-tide and storm-associated floods, which will drive migration and displacement of residents within coastal communities. Recent studies have focused on the macro-economic implications of climate-driven migration and displacement, but there remains a large research gap in our understanding of the multiplicities of climate related movement, or climate mobilities within a given locality. Mobility considerations encompass the social and economic disparities within coastal communities that may impede the ability of residents to cope with climate migration outcomes. There is a pressing need to understand local dynamics of climate migration as experienced across the spectrum of vulnerability to highlight equity considerations in sea level rise adaptation planning. The purpose of this research is to examine the intersection of sea level rise related exposure risk and socio-economic vulnerability and their combined impact on potential future climate migration outcomes through the creation of a novel climate mobility framework. The climate mobility framework distinguishes between four sets of communities - stable, migrating, displaced, and trapped- to assess potential inequities within sea level rise adaptation planning given deep uncertainty and competing societal demands for funding. This research has three primary objectives: (1) develop a conceptual framework that considers the multiplicities of sea level rise related movement, (2) test this framework among current residents of Miami-Dade County, FL though a mixed methods approach that includes spatial analysis and primary data collection through interviews and surveys, and (3) facilitate a process of co-production with government officials and community leaders to understand how the framework can advance equitable decision making for future climate resilience policy. This research employs publicly accessible datasets such as the U.S Census American Community Survey to develop socio-economic indicators of vulnerability, and integrates novel measures of exposure risk such as the Parallel Raster Inundation Model, or PRIMo, which provides high resolution regional compound flooding assessments for robust decision making. The climate mobility framework should be transferable to coastal communities in the United States and other societies where property rights and land-use tenure exist. The conclusions and proposed solutions that emerge from all phases of this research are likely to be relevant for coastal communities globally.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

海平面上升正在增加极端海平面事件，包括与涨潮和风暴有关的洪水，这将推动沿海社区居民的迁移和流离失所。最近的研究集中在气候驱动的移民和流离失所的宏观经济影响，但在我们对气候相关运动的多样性或特定地区的气候流动性的理解方面仍然存在很大的研究差距。流动性考虑因素包括沿海社区内部的社会和经济差异，这些差异可能会阻碍居民科普气候移徙结果的能力。迫切需要了解各种脆弱性的气候迁移的当地动态，以突出海平面上升适应规划中的公平考虑。本研究的目的是通过创建一个新的气候流动性框架，研究海平面上升相关的暴露风险和社会经济脆弱性的交叉点，以及它们对未来潜在气候迁移结果的综合影响。气候流动性框架区分了四组社区--稳定、迁移、流离失所和受困--以评估海平面上升适应规划中的潜在不平等，因为存在严重的不确定性和竞争性的社会资金需求。这项研究有三个主要目标：（1）开发一个概念框架，考虑海平面上升相关运动的多样性，（2）通过包括空间分析和通过访谈和调查收集原始数据的混合方法，在佛罗里达州迈阿密-戴德县的现有居民中测试该框架，以及（3）促进与政府官员和社区领袖的共同制作过程，以了解该框架如何促进未来气候适应政策的公平决策。这项研究采用了公开访问的数据集，如美国人口普查美国社区调查，以制定脆弱性的社会经济指标，并整合了新的暴露风险措施，如平行光栅洪水模型（PRIMO），它提供了高分辨率的区域复合洪水评估，以进行稳健的决策。气候流动性框架应可转让给美国沿海社区和其他存在财产权和土地使用权的社会。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

项目成果

Modes of climate mobility under sea-level rise

海平面上升下的气候流动模式

• DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acfe22
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: Environmental Research Letters
• 影响因子: 6.7
• 作者: Seeteram, Nadia A.;Ash, Kevin;Sanders, Brett F.;Schubert, Jochen E.;Mach, Katharine J.
• 通讯作者: Mach, Katharine J.

Living with water: Evolving adaptation preferences under increasing sea-level rise in Miami-Dade County, FL, USA

与水共存：美国佛罗里达州迈阿密戴德县在海平面上升的情况下不断变化的适应偏好

• DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100574
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: Climate Risk Management
• 影响因子: 4.4
• 作者: Seeteram, Nadia A.;Anderson, Elizabeth P.;Bhat, Mahadev;Grove, Kevin;Sanders, Brett F.;Schubert, Jochen E.;Hasan, Farrah;Mach, Katharine J.
• 通讯作者: Mach, Katharine J.