DISES: Conservation incentives and the socio-spatial dynamics of water sustainability

DISES：保护激励措施和水可持续性的社会空间动态

• 批准号: 2108003
• 负责人: Thomas Neeson
• 金额: $ 159.7万
• 依托单位: University of Oklahoma Norman Campus
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2022-01-15 至 2026-12-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2108003&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: DISES; Conservation; incentives; socio; spatial

This award is funded in whole or in part under the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 (Public Law 117-2).Disputes over water resources are common worldwide. In response, societies make massive investments in water conservation and allocation to support human water security and freshwater ecosystem services. There is a growing interest in voluntary incentives (e.g., payments/subsidies offered to water users) as a strategy for reducing conflicts in and beyond water conservation. Incentive-based programs hold promise, but uncertainties remain regarding how state and non-state environmental organizations may implement them effectively and efficiently. Effective implementation of incentive-based conservation requires strategic allocation of financial incentives across space and time. This project will investigate how interactions among social, hydrological, and biological spatial dynamics affect the sustainability of human-freshwater systems under incentive-based conservation. These dynamics shape the viability and effectiveness of incentive-based water conservation programs in river basins around the world. The focus of this project is on water systems in areas with extensive agricultural use, but the findings will be relevant for understanding the dynamics of incentive-based conservation programs for many types of resources (e.g., marine fisheries, energy, waste, forestry). Thus, results have the potential to transform understanding of the ways in which conservation incentives might enhance the sustainability of a wide range of integrated human-natural systems. The project focuses on the Red River, the second-largest basin in the south-central United States. Information on conservation actors and water users will be gathered via interviews and surveys to populate utility-theoretic behavioral models of decision-making regarding willingness to offer/accept conservation incentives. Game theoretic models of strategic social interactions will extend the behavioral models by examining water users’ likelihood of cooperative or competitive behavior. Retrospective, empirically-based modeling of relationships among groundwater, stream flows, and freshwater ecosystems will predict ecosystem service outcomes under varying climate and water use scenarios. Combined results from these models will be used to parameterize and calibrate an integrative socio-environmental simulation. The simulation will model the entire integrated system, from the design of conservation incentives, through decisions made by water users and water resource managers, to the linked surface and groundwater system and subsequent ecosystem service outcomes which influence human conservation decisions. Dynamic system scenarios based on varying conservation incentive budgets, priorities and climatic uncertainties will be simulated over 20-year time horizons. This integrated modeling will be used to develop the central project outputs: an adaptable, integrated framework that can be used to navigate sustainability dilemmas typical of water-limited river basins worldwide, leading to a set of key insights for understanding and managing these systems.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

该奖项是根据2021年《美国救援计划法》的全部或部分资助的（公共法117-2）。关于水资源的规模是普遍的。作为回应，社会在节水和分配方面进行了大量投资，以支持人类水安全和淡水生态系统服务。人们对自愿激励措施（例如，提供给用水用户提供的付款/补贴）的兴趣越来越大，这是减少水分保护和以后冲突的策略。基于奖励的计划有希望，但是关于州和非国家环境组织如何有效，有效地实施它们的不确定性仍然存在。有效实施基于激励的保护需要在时间和时间之间进行战略分配财务激励措施。该项目将调查社会，水文和生物学空间动力学之间的相互作用如何影响基于激励的保护下人类水平系统的可持续性。这些动态塑造了世界各地河鲈鱼基于激励的节水计划的生存能力和有效性。该项目的重点放在具有广泛农业用途的地区的水系统上，但这些发现将与了解许多类型的资源的基于激励的保护计划的动态有关（例如，海洋渔业，能源，废物，林业）。结果，结果有可能改变人们对保护激励措施可能增强各种综合人类自然系统的可持续性的方式的理解。该项目着重于美国中南部第二大盆地红河。有关保护参与者和用水用户的信息将通过访谈和调查收集，以填充有关愿意提供/接受保护激励措施的决策的公用事业理论行为模型。战略社会互动的游戏理论模型将通过研究水用户的合作或竞争行为的可能性来扩展行为模型。回顾性，基于经验的基于地下水，溪流和淡水生态系统之间关系的建模将预测在不同的气候和用水场景下的生态系统服务结果。这些模型的组合结果将用于参数化和校准集成的社会环境模拟。该模拟将对整个集成系统进行建模，从保护激励措施的设计，从水上用户和水资源管理者做出的决定到链接的地面和地下水系统，以及随后影响人类保护决策的生态系统服务成果。在20年的时间范围内将模拟基于不同保护激励预算，优先级和气候不确定性的动态系统场景。这种集成的建模将用于开发中央项目的产出：一个适应性的综合框架，可用于在全球范围内典型的可持续性困境导航可持续性困境，从而为理解和管理这些系统提供了一系列关键见解。该奖项通过评估了NSF的诚实，反映了NSF的诚实对诚实的影响，该奖项已被评估构成构成商品的构成群体的依据和基础。