HSI Planning Project: Development of an Early Attrition Predictive Model for STEM Majors at a Major Hispanic-Serving Institution

HSI 规划项目：为一家主要西班牙裔服务机构的 STEM 专业学生开发早期流失预测模型

• 批准号: 2115960
• 负责人: Anthony Carpi
• 金额: $ 19.95万
• 依托单位: CUNY John Jay College of Criminal Justice
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2021
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2021-09-01 至 2024-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2115960&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: HSI; Planning; Project; Development; Early

With support from the Improving Undergraduate STEM Education: Hispanic-Serving Institutions (HSI Program), this Track 1: PPP proposal aims to undertake an institutional-wide assessment of early STEM attrition to inform the development of a predictive model that will identify students in STEM majors who are at risk of leaving STEM or dropping out entirely, and group these students according to their risk factors. Recognizing that deficit-oriented models fail to fully explain the high-level of attrition of Hispanics and other underrepresented minorities from STEM majors, the proposed model will use both institutional data (e.g., student demographics, socioeconomic status, pre-college characteristics, enrollment patterns, academic performance, and institutional factors) and results of validated surveys administered to students and alumni who have attrited from a STEM major to identify risk factors that can be addressed institutionally. Doing so will allow the development of targeted interventions that mitigate the risk factors identified by the model in a future Track 2 submission, which will be designed to provide students with the tools and resources that will help ensure their retention and successful completion of a STEM major and entry into a post-graduate STEM career.The aims of this proposal are to (1) work with key institutional data repositories to gather student metrics and (2) administer surveys to students from cohorts who have left the major to understand their reasons for leaving the STEM majors at John Jay College to (3) develop and validate a predictive model to identify whether patterns of attrition and factors related to attrition differ across subgroups of students. The PI team hypothesizes that different factors will affect attrition of different students, and that these factors can be predicted and mitigated with intervention (e.g. tutoring, social support, remediation, financial counseling, etc.). The final aim is to (4) work with the major offices associated with undergraduate completion, a trained psychologist, and an independent evaluator to develop a cohort of interventions and a plan for rigorous evaluation of these interventions for submission as a future NSF HSI program Track 2 proposal. The knowledge generated in this proposal will be published in peer-reviewed literature and shared with other minority- and Hispanic-serving institutions that wish to address attrition rates of STEM majors. The model itself will be shared with other HSIs to allow them to analyze the factors affecting attrition at their institutions. The NSF HSI Program aims to enhance undergraduate STEM education, broaden participation in STEM, and build capacity at HSIs. Achieving these aims, given the diverse nature and context of HSIs, requires innovative approaches that incentivize institutional and community transformation and promote fundamental research (i) on engaged student learning, (ii) about what it takes to diversify and increase participation in STEM effectively, and (iii) that improves our understanding of how to build institutional capacity at HSIs. Projects supported by the HSI Program will draw from these approaches to generate new knowledge on how to achieve these aims.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

在不断改善的本科STEM教育的支持下：西班牙裔服务机构（HSI计划），本曲目1：PPP提案旨在对早期STEM损耗进行机构范围的评估，以开发预测模型的发展，该模型将确定有可能离开STEM或降低STEM的学生，并根据他们的风险因素进行分组。认识到以赤字为导向的模型无法完全解释西班牙裔和其他代表性不足的少数群体对STEM专业的高度消耗，因此建议的模型将同时使用机构数据（例如，学生人口统计，社会经济状况，社会经济状况，堡垒前，预科前的特征，入学绩效，学术绩效，学术阶段，以及使学生的阶段和机构造成的阶段）的阶段和机构造成的阶段，这些阶段的阶段是造成的。确定可以在制度上解决的风险因素。这样做将允许开发有针对性的干预措施，以减轻模型在未来的曲目2提交中确定的风险因素，该曲目将旨在为学生提供工具和资源，以确保他们的保留和成功完成STEM的大规模完成，并成功地完成了研究后的STEM职业生涯。少校要理解他们在约翰·杰伊学院（John Jay College）离开STEM专业的原因（3）开发和验证一个预测模型，以确定学生在学生亚组之间与流失模式和损耗相关的因素是否有所不同。 PI团队假设不同的因素会影响不同学生的流失，并且可以通过干预来预测和减轻这些因素（例如，辅导，社会支持，补救，财务咨询等）。最终目的是（4）与与本科完成，训练有素的心理学家和独立评估者相关的主要办公室合作，以制定一系列干预措施，并计划对这些干预措施进行严格评估，以作为未来的NSF HSI Program Program Program Program Program Program Track 2提案。本提案中产生的知识将在经过同行评审的文献中发表，并与希望解决STEM大满贯流失率的其他少数民族和西班牙裔服务机构共享。该模型本身将与其他HSI共享，以允许他们分析影响机构流失的因素。 NSF HSI计划旨在增强本科STEM教育，扩大对STEM的参与以及在HSIS建立能力。鉴于HSI的多样性和背景，实现这些目标需要创新的方法来激励机构和社区转型，并促进有关参与学生学习的基础研究（i），（ii）关于有效多样化和增加参与STEM的多样化和（iii），以及（iii），以提高我们对HSIS机构能力建立机构能力的理解。 HSI计划支持的项目将从这些方法中借鉴，以产生有关如何实现这些目标的新知识。该奖项反映了NSF的法定任务，并被认为是值得通过基金会的知识分子优点和更广泛影响的评估审查标准来通过评估来获得支持的。