The Dynamics of Illicit Governance
非法治理的动态
基本信息
- 批准号:2116406
- 负责人:
- 金额:$ 52.61万
- 依托单位:
- 依托单位国家:美国
- 项目类别:Continuing Grant
- 财政年份:2021
- 资助国家:美国
- 起止时间:2021-08-01 至 2025-07-31
- 项目状态:未结题
- 来源:
- 关键词:
项目摘要
The Dynamics of Illicit GovernancePI: Javier Osorio, University of ArizonaAbstractIncreasingly armed actors, such as criminal groups, insurgents, and paramilitaries, not only engage in violence but also provide governance at the local level in some countries. This project therefore seeks to explain why, which, and where organized criminal groups develop illicit governance structures over local economic, social, and political activities. To examine illicit governance structures, the project will use online-expert surveys to collect data as well as comparative subnational fieldwork. The findings of this project will contribute to U.S. national security by advancing an understanding of the causes of illicit governance in countries where the U.S. seeks to support national governments, maintain political stability, and contain civil conflicts. The project’s analytical framework explains how the degree of labor/capital intensity of different illicit markets and their territorial concentration/diffusion shape the dynamics of violence and illicit governance. This framework also takes into consideration criminal-state relationships and interactions between rival criminal groups. To empirically examine illicit governance structures, the project will utilize an online-expert survey to collect data from hundreds of security experts. Data collected from the expert surveys and other sources will then be statistically analyzed in order to test the empirical implications of the theoretical framework. The quantitative analyses will employ a variety of quasi-experimental identification strategies to strengthen causal inference. Comparative subnational qualitative case research will be conducted to illustrate and assess causal mechanisms suggested by the statistical results. The findings of this project will advance scholarly literatures in areas such as failed states, non-state actor governance in conflict-affected countries, criminal organizations and corruption, and democratic back-sliding.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.
非法政府的动态PI:亚利桑那大学哈维尔·奥索里奥摘要犯罪集团、叛乱分子和准军事组织等日益武装的行为者不仅参与暴力,而且在一些国家提供地方治理。因此,本项目试图解释为什么有组织犯罪集团在当地经济、社会和政治活动中发展非法治理结构,以及在哪里发展。为了审查非法治理结构,该项目将使用在线专家调查来收集数据以及比较国家以下地区的实地工作。该项目的发现将有助于了解美国寻求支持国家政府、维持政治稳定和遏制国内冲突的国家非法治理的原因,从而有助于美国的国家安全。该项目的分析框架解释了不同非法市场的劳动力/资本密集度及其在领土上的集中/扩散如何影响暴力和非法治理的动态。这一框架还考虑到犯罪与国家之间的关系以及相互竞争的犯罪集团之间的互动。为了对非法治理结构进行实证检查,该项目将利用在线专家调查从数百名安全专家那里收集数据。然后将对从专家调查和其他来源收集的数据进行统计分析,以检验理论框架的经验意义。定量分析将采用各种准实验识别策略来加强因果推理。将进行比较的国家以下定性案例研究,以说明和评估统计结果所暗示的因果机制。这个项目的发现将推动诸如失败国家、受冲突影响国家的非国家行为者治理、犯罪组织和腐败以及民主倒退等领域的学术文献。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命,并通过使用基金会的智力优势和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估,被认为值得支持。
项目成果
期刊论文数量(0)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
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Javier Osorio其他文献
Plastia inguinal asistida por robot: reporte de 98 casos realizados en México
机器人腹股沟辅助塑料:墨西哥 98 例实际情况报告
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2020 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
M. P. A. García;Juan José Solorzano Adame;Francisco Iván Galeana Nogueda;Karla Ivonne Luján Mendoza;Javier Osorio - 通讯作者:
Javier Osorio
Legacies of Resistance: Mobilization Against Organized Crime in Mexico
抵抗的遗产:墨西哥动员打击有组织犯罪
- DOI:
10.1177/0010414021989761 - 发表时间:
2021 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Javier Osorio;L. Schubiger;M. Weintraub - 通讯作者:
M. Weintraub
Hobbes on drugs: Understanding drug violence in Mexico
霍布斯谈毒品:了解墨西哥的毒品暴力
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2013 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Javier Osorio - 通讯作者:
Javier Osorio
Evidence-based clinical practice manual: Cardiopulmonary-cerebral resuscitation
循证临床实践手册:心肺脑复苏
- DOI:
10.1016/j.rcae.2014.10.009 - 发表时间:
2015 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
J. Vargas;Hernando Matiz;Javier Osorio - 通讯作者:
Javier Osorio
Enhancing the Detection of Criminal Organizations in Mexico using ML and NLP
使用 ML 和 NLP 加强墨西哥犯罪组织的侦查
- DOI:
10.1109/ijcnn48605.2020.9207039 - 发表时间:
2020 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Javier Osorio;Alejandro Beltran - 通讯作者:
Alejandro Beltran
Javier Osorio的其他文献
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