RAPID: Militant Organization Preferences and Strategies for Reducing Postconflict Violence

第一部分冲突和有组织犯罪活动有时在谈判和商定结束内战的条件后仍在继续。这项研究调查了武装分子和犯罪组织在冲突后的偏好，以及他们为实现目标而采取的策略。这项研究涉及对参与和平协议进程的被监禁领导人的采访。这些领导人对犯罪和暴力的动态拥有深刻而详细的知识，包括招募、武装、融资和社区关系的逻辑。这项研究将使用从这些访谈中收集的数据来检验关于冲突后冲突和犯罪活动的假设。它有望为减少冲突后社会中的暴力行为，包括那些美国的伙伴社会，产生重要的调查结果和战略。研究小组将编写学术研究和政策文件，以帮助制定冲突后国家的政策以及受大量武装团体影响的国家的政策。该项目还有望帮助学者、警察组织和其他人更好地了解刑事治理的性质以及武装组织如何掠夺社区以及提供安全和解决争端。第二部分：学者们调查了导致国内冲突各方谈判和平协议的条件，以及这种协议在多大程度上有助于结束大规模敌对行动。这些文献对武装分子参与犯罪活动如何影响这些过程的关注较少。我们缺乏对犯罪集团冲突后偏好和战略的了解，也不了解这些如何有助于和平协定的谈判以及随后的犯罪、暴力和帮派活动。该项目通过以半结构化访谈的形式收集数据，对聚集在一所监狱以达成和平协议的领导人进行访谈，以解决这一差距。这些访谈产生的数据将被分析，以了解刑事治理的性质，犯罪组织如何进行和平谈判，并产生减少犯罪、暴力和帮派活动的见解。第三部分：这一裁决反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

Part 1. Conflict and organized criminal activity sometimes continue after terms to end civil wars are negotiated and agreed. This research investigates the postconflict preferences of militant and criminal organizations, and the strategies they use to achieve their objectives. The research involves interviews with imprisoned leaders who are participating in a peace agreement process. These leaders possess a deep and detailed knowledge of the dynamics of crime and violence including the logics of recruitment, arming, financing, and community relations. This research will use data collected from these interviews to test hypotheses about postconflict conflict and criminal activity. It promises to yield important findings and strategies for reducing violence in postconflict societies, including those that are partners of the United States. The research team will produce scholarly research and policy documents that could contribute to policy formulation in postconflict countries as well as those affected by significant levels of armed groups. The project can also be expected to help scholars, policing organizations, and others better understand the nature of criminal governance and how armed organizations prey on communities as well as provide security and dispute resolution.Part 2. Scholars have investigated the conditions that lead parties to civil conflicts negotiate peace agreements, and the degree to which such agreements contribute to the end of large-scale hostilities. This literature has devoted less attention to how militant involvement in criminal activities influence these processes. We lack knowledge of the postconflict preferences and strategies of criminal groups, and how these contribute to the negotiation of peace agreements and subsequent levels of crime, violence, and gang activity. The project addresses this gap by collecting data in the form of semi-structured interviews with leaders who have been assembled in a single prison to reach a peace agreement. The data generated from these interviews will be analyzed to understand the nature of criminal governance, how criminal organizations approach peace negotiations, and generate insights that reduce crime, violence, and gang activity.Part 3:This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.