Beyond Malthus in least developed regions: Gender inequality, environmental and demographic changes

我与Matthias Kalkuhl教授（柏林MCC和波茨坦大学）和Chryovalantis Vasilakis教授（班戈大学）合作的第二篇论文已经完成，并作为ISER讨论文件1190和IZA工作文件15646分发。我们在本文中认为，除其他因素外，气候变化应该对撒哈拉以南非洲地区的教育、性别差距、缓慢的人口转型和经济停滞负责。值得注意的是，我们提供了一种新的机制，将气候变化持续影响下当地资源与人口之间的动态相互作用联系起来，以解释撒哈拉以南非洲地区缓慢的人口转型。我们的主要理论预测得到了来自44个非洲国家1960年至2017年期间数据的经验证据的支持。这项研究的结果对于设计实现撒哈拉以南非洲多个可持续发展目标的公共政策将是重要的。我们的研究表明，改善基础设施，例如电力覆盖和管道清洁水系统，可能对促进撒哈拉以南非洲的女性赋权和发展至关重要。我的第一篇论文题为“气候政策和财富分配”，现已正式发表在《环境建模与评估》第27卷。这项研究的细节是去年报道的。此外，在与德国学者合作的其他项目中，我的另外两篇论文已被接受发表在《渔业研究》和《海洋资源经济学》上。

My second paper, in collaboration with Prof. Matthias Kalkuhl (MCC Berlin and University of Potsdam) and Prof. Chryovalantis Vasilakis (Bangor University), has been completed and circulated as ISER Discussion Paper 1190 and IZA Working Paper 15646.We argue in this paper that, among other factors, climate change should be responsible for education gender gap, slow demographic transition, and economic stagnation in Sub-Saharan Africa. Notably, we provide a novel mechanism linking the dynamic interaction between local resources and population under the persistent effect of climate change to explain the slow demographic transition in Sub-Saharan Africa. Our main theoretical predictions have been supported by our empirical evidences derived from data of 44 Afican countries in the period 1960-2017.The findings of this research would be important for designing public policies towards multiple sustainable development goals for Sub-Saharan Africa. Our research suggests that improving basic infrastructures, e.g. electricity coverage and piped clean water system, may be very essential for triggering female empowerment and development for Sub-Saharan Africa.My first paper titled “Climate policy and wealth distribution” now officially appear in Volume 27 of Environmental Modeling and Assessment. The details of this research was reported last year.In addition, in other projects collaborated with German scholars, two other papers of mine have been accepted for publication in Fisheries Research and in Marine Resource Economics.