Parametric and nonparametric modelling of spatiotemporal change patterns in seismicity using Hawkes processes (B04)

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The proposed project deals with the detection of change patterns in a spatiotemporal model for earthquake occurrences. For this aim the model GP-ETAS, which has been developed in the first funding period and combines the Hawkes process model ETAS with Gaussian process modeling, will be extended by allowing for the occurrence of various types of nonstationary behavior of seismicity and will finally be generalized from a semi-parametric towards a fully non-parametric model.