Causal estimates of education on fertility, marriage and cohabitation

生育、婚姻和同居教育的因果估计

• 批准号: 390218016
• 负责人: Dr. Marcus Tamm
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Büro Berlin
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Infrastructure Priority Programmes
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2016-12-31 至 2019-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/390218016?language=en
• 关键词: Causal; estimates; education; fertility; marriage

Using exogenous variation in levels of education, we will analyze how education influences fertility and mating behavior. In doing so, we focus on several measures of fertility such as the incidence of childlessness, the total number of children or the age at first birth among others. We also look at mating behavior and differentiate between marriage and cohabitation. The analysis will contribute to a large mainly descriptive literature by estimating causal effects. Furthermore, we add to the literature by also looking at non-marital mating behavior. For the analysis, we apply instrumental variable strategies and exploit variation in levels of education that are due to a schooling reform extending compulsory schooling, the opening of universities as well as administrative regulations on age-cutoffs for school entry. By using several instruments we will be able to compare the estimates for different groups of the population.

利用教育水平的外生变化，我们将分析教育如何影响生育和交配行为。在此过程中，我们重点关注生育率的多项衡量指标，例如无子女发生率、子女总数或第一胎年龄等。我们还关注交配行为并区分婚姻和同居。通过估计因果效应，该分析将有助于形成大量主要描述性文献。此外，我们还通过研究非婚姻交配行为来补充文献。在分析中，我们应用工具变量策略，并利用由于教育改革、延长义务教育、大学开放以及入学年龄限制的行政规定而导致的教育水平的变化。通过使用多种工具，我们将能够比较不同人群的估计值。