Age-Specific Net Migration Estimates for US Counties, 2010-2020: Data Generation & Archiving

2010-2020 年美国各县特定年龄净移民估计：数据生成

• 批准号: 10133107
• 负责人: Katherine J. Curtis
• 金额: $ 8.08万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2020-04-01 至 2024-03-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10133107
• 关键词: Administrator; Age; Age-Years; Alaska Native; American Indians; Archives; Area; Asian Indian; Asians; Baby Booms; Birth; Categories; Censuses; Cessation of life; Characteristics; Charts and Tables; Child Health; Childhood; Color; Communities; Community Developments; Country; County; Custom; Data; Data Set; Data Sources; Demographer; Demography; Destinations; Economic Development; Economics; Education; Educational workshop; Elderly; Ensure; Ethnic Origin; Ethnic group; Face; Family; Fertility; Funding; Generations; Health; Health Personnel; Health Policy; Health Services; Health Services Needs; Health Status; Health behavior; Health education; Health system; Healthcare; Hispanics; Housing; Immigration; Inequality; Internal Migrations; Labor Forces; Laboratories; Life Expectancy; Maps; Measures; Medical Staff; Mental Health; Methods; Migrant; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Natural Increases; Out-Migrations; Outcome; Pattern; Personal Satisfaction; Policy Maker; Politics; Population; Press Releases; Public Health; Race; Records; Research; Research Personnel; Residual state; Risk; Sampling; Sampling Errors; Services; Shapes; Site; Social Work; Spatial Distribution; Structure; Time; Translating; United States National Center for Health Statistics; United States Public Health Service; Universities; Update; Visit; Wisconsin; Woman; Work; age group; aging population; archive data; archived data; baby boomer; base; care systems; child bearing; cohesion; cohort; experience; health care availability; health care service; health disparity; health disparity populations; improved; infrastructure development; interest; longitudinal dataset; migration; mortality; outreach; population health; prenatal; racial and ethnic; racial population; rural area; rural counties; rurality; service providers; sex; social; socioeconomics; suburb; trend; web interface; web site; webinar; young adult

This project will produce and disseminate a publicly available dataset of net migration estimates for all US counties by five-year age group, sex, race, and Hispanic origin for the 2010-2020 decade. In addition, the project will provide access to these data for a broad community of researchers and practitioners in demography and population health through an interactive website for on-line mapping, analysis, and data downloads. The 2010-2020 estimates will be integrated with similar net migration estimates produced each decade since 1950 to generate a longitudinal dataset of 70 years of age-specific net migration for all US counties. The project will derive estimates using a forward cohort residual method, subtracting a measure of natural increase from population change over the period to generate net migrants. Estimates will be highly accurate and reliable. We will produce them by using high quality data that avoid sampling error, including enumerations from Census 2010 and 2020 and administrative records of all US births and deaths from the National Center for Health Statistics. These estimates will be critically important for research on a variety of population and population health policy-relevant topics at the crux of which is migration patterns and trends: migration of the baby boom cohort and its impact on health care demand at destination; race-specific migration patterns and subsequent health disparities for populations of color; the persistence of high out-migration regions and its contribution to shrinking economies; and young adult out-migration and its impact on the health of the population that remain (i.e., mental health, health behaviors, life expectancy). Age-specific migration’s spatial distribution influences the age structure of communities, with significant implications for population aging, child health, education, and economic well-being. Selective migration by age, sex, and race/ethnicity alters counties’ population composition, having significant implications for health service provisioning and staffing, service infrastructure development, economic and labor market conditions, fertility, and mortality. Accurate net migration estimates by detailed demographic characteristics are essential for research analyzing place-based age- specific migration patterns and their relationship with health factors and outcomes, and for practitioners planning for public health services, civic infrastructure, and community and economic development. The proposed set of county-level net migration estimates are vital to applied demographers making small area population estimates and projections, which are the basis of health service planning efforts. Without the proposed data, there will be no age- or race/ethnic-specific county-level migration estimates for the post 2010 period for all US counties. The team will make the data available and accessible to planners, healthcare administrators, health policy-makers, and other decision-makers and publics. The data will be archived with the Inter- University Consortium for Political and Social Research, and accessible to all via a free website hosted by the University of Wisconsin-Madison’s Applied Population Laboratory. The team will offer data workshops and work with the press to ensure the data are accessible and translatable.

该项目将为美国所有县制作和传播一个公开的净移民估计数据集 按五岁年龄组，性别，种族和西班牙裔2010 - 2020十年。此外，该项目还将提供 为人口学和人口健康领域的广大研究人员和从业人员提供这些数据 通过一个互动网站进行在线绘图、分析和数据下载。2010 - 2020年估计数将是 与自1950年以来每十年产生的类似净移民估计数相结合， 美国所有县的70年特定年龄净移民。 该项目将使用远期群组残差法得出估计数，减去自然增长的一个衡量标准 从这一时期的人口变化到产生净移民。估计数将是高度准确和可靠的。我们将 使用避免抽样误差的高质量数据，包括2010年和2020年人口普查的普查数据， 美国国家卫生统计中心的所有出生和死亡的行政记录。这些估计数将 对于研究各种人口和人口健康政策相关主题至关重要， 这是移民模式和趋势：婴儿潮的移民及其对卫生保健需求的影响， 目的地;种族特定的移民模式和随后的健康差异的颜色人口;持久性 人口外流高的地区及其对经济萎缩的影响;青年人外流及其影响 关于剩余人口的健康（即，心理健康、健康行为、预期寿命）。 外来人口的空间分布影响着群落的年龄结构， 对人口老龄化、儿童健康、教育和经济福祉的影响。按年龄、性别和 种族/民族改变了县的人口组成，对卫生服务的提供有重大影响， 人员配备、服务基础设施发展、经济和劳动力市场状况、生育率和死亡率。精确网 通过详细的人口统计特征进行的移民估计对于分析基于地点的年龄的研究至关重要， 具体的移徙模式及其与健康因素和结果的关系，以及规划 公共卫生服务、市政基础设施以及社区和经济发展。建议设立县级 净移民估计数对应用人口统计学家进行小区域人口估计和预测至关重要， 这是卫生服务规划工作的基础。 如果没有拟议的数据，将不会有年龄或种族/民族特定的县级移民估计， 2010年以后，美国所有的县。该团队将向规划人员、医疗保健人员和其他专业人员提供数据， 管理人员、卫生政策制定者和其他决策者以及公众。数据将在国际米兰存档- 大学政治和社会研究联合会，所有人均可通过大学主办的免费网站访问 威斯康星-麦迪逊应用人口实验室该小组将提供数据研讨会，并与新闻界合作， 确保数据的可访问性和可翻译性。