Toward a Politico-Economic System of an Ecological Society : Sustainable Economic Development and International Economic Relations

1.中国经济与环境的计量分析在研究的第一阶段，建立了中国经济的宏观计量模型，预测其能源平衡。然后，利用中国和东亚国家的面板数据，估计了中国能源消费与NOx、SOx和CO_2排放之间的关系。从这些研究的结果，安装脱硫脱氮设备在中国工业的重要性进行了定量识别。我们的结论是，日本在该领域的援助将大大有助于缓解中国和整个世界的环境恶化。日本经济与环境的投入产出分析通过对日本时间序列的投入产出表的分析，我们发现：1970 ~ 1985年，日本经济的大气污染物排放量减少，1985年则出现相反的趋势。从那时起，自1985年以来，越来越明显的是，从亚洲国家进口的增加，减少日本经济的环境负荷的因素。这一现象可以解释为日本经济已将其危害环境的活动转移到亚洲国家。

1. Chinese Economy and Environment : An Econometric AnalysisIn the first stage of the research, a macro econometric model of Chinese economy was built to forecast its energy balance. Then, relations between energy consumption and emission of NOx, SOx, and CO_2 in China were estimated, using panel data of Chinese and other East Asian Countries. From the results of those studies, the importance of installing de-sulfur and de-nitrogen equipment in the Chinese industry was identified quantitatively. We concluded that Japan's assistance in the field will contribute substantially to alleviate environmental deterioration in China and in the whole World.2. Japanese Economy and Environment : An I-O AnalysisWe founded the following facts from analysis of the time series I-O Tables of Japan.The Japanese economy had reduced in emission of air pollutants from 1970 to 1985.In 1985 the trend has changed in the opposite direction : since then, its production structure has been going to be more environmentally harmful.Since 1985 it has been more and more clear as well that increases in import from Asian countries have acted as a factor of reducing environmental load of the Japanese economy. The phenomenon may be interpreted as that the Japanese economy has been shifting its environmentally hazardous activities to Asian countries.