Trajectories of Conflict: The Dynamics of Argumentation in the UN Security Council

冲突轨迹：联合国安理会的争论动态

• 批准号: 448421842
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Manfred Stede
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Department für Linguistik
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 资助国家: 德国
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/448421842?language=en
• 关键词: Trajectories; Conflict; Dynamics; Argumentation; UN

Conflict is inherently dynamic. Positions morph, contexts change, factions and allegiances realign, and even when everything else appears to be in stasis, there is change in the language used to express conflict - in the framings and nuances and emotions. Our aim is to understand this dynamism and to test that understanding at scale.We will develop novel, integrative theory and then apply that theory both to understand ways in which conflict is presented linguistically and also how it evolves, not just in terms of its underlying positions but also in its presentation. We eschew domain- or theme-specific conflict, and instead site our study within the foremost venue for conflict of the highest level and greatest import: the UN Security Council. Rather than focus on a single issue or region or period of the Security Council, our goal is to work with the entirety of its activity in which significant conflict is presented: a dataset of almost one million words. Across the 25 years of almost daily meetings, our techniques will offer insight both to geopolitical analysts and to the general public into how conflicts at the Council emerge and evolve, combining analysis of local discourse features such as vagueness and emotionality with structural features such as justification-giving and patterns of reasoning, and finally considering how positions in conflict are framed. Across all of these aspects there are interacting dynamics, which our theory of conflict trajectories aims to understand so that it will become possible for the first time to map the language of conflict simultaneously in great detail and at very large scale.This is the first time that the techniques of big data have driven the study of the language of conflict. Though we will bring such computational techniques to bear, our focus is on delivering the foundational theory, the analytical techniques and the dataset resources that can subsequently underpin future computational research and indeed into applied innovation delivering value for scholars of political science, international relations and as well as for professionals working in diplomacy and geopolitical analysis and ultimately the general public.

冲突本质上是动态的。立场在变化，背景在变化，派系和忠诚在重新调整，甚至当其他一切似乎都处于停滞状态时，用来表达冲突的语言也在变化——在框架、细微差别和情感上。我们的目标是理解这种活力，并在规模上测试这种理解。我们将发展一种新颖的综合理论，然后运用这一理论来理解冲突在语言上的表现方式以及它是如何演变的，不仅是在其潜在的立场上，而且在其表现方式上。我们避开了特定领域或特定主题的冲突，而是把我们的研究放在最高级别的、最重要的冲突的最重要的场所：联合国安理会。我们的目标不是把重点放在安全理事会的一个问题、一个区域或一个时期上，而是在涉及重大冲突的安理会活动的全部方面开展工作：一个近100万字的数据集。在25年几乎每天的会议中，我们的技术将为地缘政治分析师和公众提供洞察，了解安理会的冲突是如何产生和演变的，将对当地话语特征（如模糊性和情绪性）的分析与结构特征（如辩护和推理模式）相结合，并最终考虑冲突中的立场是如何形成的。在所有这些方面都存在着相互作用的动态，我们的冲突轨迹理论旨在理解这些动态，以便首次在非常详细和非常大的范围内同时绘制冲突语言。这是大数据技术第一次推动了对冲突语言的研究。虽然我们将带来这样的计算技术，但我们的重点是提供基础理论，分析技术和数据集资源，这些资源随后可以支撑未来的计算研究，实际上是应用创新，为政治学学者，国际关系以及从事外交和地缘政治分析的专业人士以及最终的公众提供价值。