Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of Technology Global Spillover and its Effect on Competitiveness Structure

人员、货物和信息跨境流动的急剧增加，以及与资本存量和劳动力的技术互补性的增强，加速了全球技术溢出的增长和扩散。面对研发停滞，从多个来源聚集的全球市场有效利用技术已成为一种重要的竞争战略，导致人们更加关注溢出技术的同化能力(利用这种溢出技术的能力)。事实上，如何有效地利用这种替代潜力已经成为行业最关键的研发战略之一。本研究采用理论和实证相结合的方法，对技术溢出对生产增长的贡献和…的作用机制进行了分析此外，还对同化能力的发展趋势和制约因素进行了数值分析。此外，本研究试图找出同化能力的来源和机制，以便为产业研发战略的重组提供建议。本研究表明，(I)同化能力在构建技术溢出的良性循环和引领技术溢出的未来轨迹中起着关键作用，(Ii)劳动力质量是同化能力的决定性因素，这一质量受信息化、老龄化趋势和制度体系的制约，(Iii)因此，在以经济零增长或负增长、全球化、服务业集约化产业结构和快速老龄化社会为特征的新范式下，信息化的系统推进和精心设计的研发投资与不断变化的制度体系相对应，是行业技术管理战略的关键主题。较少

A dramatic increase in the transboundary flow of people, goods and information together with an increase in technology complementarity with capital stock and labor forces has accelerated the growth and spread of global technology spillovers.Facing the R＆D stagnation, effective utilization of technology from the global marketplace gathered from multiple sources has become an important competitive strategy leading to greater concern for assimilation capacity of spillover technology (the ability to utilize this spillover technology). In fact, how effectively utilize this substitution potential has become one of the most crucial R＆D strategies for industry. Notwithstanding its strong assimilation capacity p until the 1980s, Japan's capacity has deteriorated in the 1990s and the remediation of this problem has become urgent.This research, uses both theoretical and empirical analyzes of the mechanisms of (i) technology spillover contribution to production increase, and (ii) the role of assim … More ilation, in addition to a numerical analyzes of the trends in assimilation capacity and the governing factors of this capacity. Furthermore, this investigation attempts to identify the sources and mechanism governing assimilation capacity, in order to extract suggestions for restructuring industry's R＆D strategy.This research suggests that (i) assimilation capacity plays a key role in constructing a virtuous cycle of technology spillover and leading the future trajectory of "technology hosts" (which acquire spillover technology in the market place), (ii) the quality of labor is a decisive factor in assimilation capacity, and this quality is governed by informatization, the aging trend and the institutional system, (iii) therefore, the systematic advancement of informatization and carefully designed R＆D investment corresponding to changing institutional systems under the new paradigm characterized by zero or minus economic growth, globalization, a service intensified industrial structure, and a rapidly aging society are crucial subjects for industry's techno-managerial strategy. Less