INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE, PRODUCTIVITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN JAPAN

日本的产业结构、生产力和经济增长

• 批准号: 15330043
• 负责人: FUKAO Kyoji
• 金额: $ 6.78万
• 依托单位: HITOTSUBASHI UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• 财政年份: 2003
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2003 至 2004
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-15330043/
• 关键词: JIP Database; Total Factor Productivity; IT Revolution; IT Capital; Factor Contents; Equilibrium Exchange Rate; Research and Development; Intra-industry Trade; 貿易構造; IT投資; 失われた十年; 対日直接投資; 購買力平価

Using the newly compiled data, the Japan Industrial Productivity(JIP) Database, Fukao, Inui, Kawai and Miyagawa(2004) analyzed Japan's sectoral TFP growth in recent years. The main results are as follows. 1)After taking account of the quality of labor and the capacity utilization rate we found the decline in TFP growth at the macro-level from the 1980s to the 1990s not to be so great. The decline in TFP growth from the 1983-91 period to the 1991-98 period is 0.20 percentage-points. The slowdown in TFP growth mainly occurred in the manufacturing sector. The manufacturing sector's contribution to macro-TFP growth declined from 0.74 percentage-points in 1983-91 to -0.03 percentage-points in 1991-98. In contrast, TFP growth in the non-manufacturing sectors accelerated during the 1990s. Non-manufacturing sectors' contribution to macro-TFP growth increased from -0.34 percentage-points in 1983-91 to 0.22 percentage-points in 1991-98.Miyagawa, Ito and Harada (2004) examine the contribution of … More IT investment to economic growth in Japan, and estimate the spillover effects of IT investment. We decompose labor productivity growth into four terms, following Sonobe and Otsuka (2001), and find out that intra-sectoral capital deepening effects is the dominant factor in productivity growth. However, the recent productivity slowdown is caused by the lack of reallocation effects of labor. Further, we estimate production functions and TFP growth functions, examining network externalities of IT capital. As a result, we find inter-industry spillover effects of input side as well as intra-industry spillover effects.Fukao and Kwon (forthcoming) analyses the cause of the slowdown in Japan's TFP growth during the 1990s. Using firm level panel data covering the entire sector, we investigate the causes of the TFP slowdown and find that the reallocation of resources from less efficient to more efficient firms was very slow and limited. This "low metabolism" seems to be an important cause for the slowdown in Japan's TFP growth. Less

日本工业生产率（JIP）数据库利用最新编制的数据，Fukao、Inui、Kawai 和 Miyakawa（2004）分析了日本近年来的部门 TFP 增长。主要结果如下。 1）考虑到劳动力质量和产能利用率后，我们发现从1980年代到90年代宏观层面TFP增速的下降幅度并没有那么大。从1983-91年到1991-98年，TFP增长率下降了0.20个百分点。全要素生产率增速放缓主要出现在制造业。制造业对宏观TFP增长的贡献从1983-91年的0.74个百分点下降到1991-98年的-0.03个百分点。相比之下，非制造业部门的 TFP 增长在 20 世纪 90 年代加速。非制造业对宏观TFP增长的贡献从1983-91年的-0.34个百分点上升到1991-98年的0.22个百分点。Miyakawa、Ito和Harada(2004)考察了IT投资对日本经济增长的贡献，并估计了IT投资的溢出效应。我们按照Sonobe和Otsuka（2001）将劳动生产率增长分解为四项，发现部门内资本深化效应是生产率增长的主导因素。然而，近期生产率放缓是由于缺乏劳动力再配置效应造成的。此外，我们估计生产函数和 TFP 增长函数，检查 IT 资本的网络外部性。由此，我们发现了投入侧的产业间溢出效应和产业内溢出效应。Fukao和Kwon（即将出版）分析了20世纪90年代日本TFP增长放缓的原因。我们利用覆盖整个行业的企业层面面板数据，调查了全要素生产率放缓的原因，发现资源从效率较低的企业到效率较高的企业的重新分配非常缓慢且有限。这种“低代谢”似乎是日本TFP增长放缓的重要原因。较少的

项目成果

Physical and Human Capital Deepening and New Trade Patterns in Japan

日本的物质资本和人力资本深化以及新的贸易模式

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: International Trade, NBER-East Asian on Economics VOl.14(forthcoming)
• 作者: Ito;Keiko;Kyoji Fukao
• 通讯作者: Kyoji Fukao

Do Out-In M&As Bring Higher TFP to Japan? An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data on Japanese Manufacturing Firms

做外进M

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.19,Issue2
• 作者: FUkao;Kyoji;Keiko Ito;Hyeong Ug Kwon
• 通讯作者: Hyeong Ug Kwon

袁堂軍, 深尾京司: "長期統計における国際比較:1934-36年における日本・台湾・朝鮮の購買力平価と実質消費水準"アジア近現代比較数量経済分析. (近刊). TTL.41 ps. (2004)

Dogun Yuan、Kyoji Fukao：“长期统计数据的国际比较：1934 年至 1936 年日本、台湾和韩国的购买力平价和实际消费水平”现代亚洲的比较定量经济分析（即将出版）。 （2004）

規模の経済と経済成長-日本の産業別TFP成長率の要因分解-

规模经济与经济增长 - 日本 TFP 增长率按行业的因素分析 -

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: 経済集志 第75巻第1号(未定)
• 作者: 乾 友彦

Sectoral Productivity and Economic Growth in Japan, 1970-98: An Empirical Analysis Based on the JIP Database

日本的部门生产率和经济增长，1970-98：基于 JIP 数据库的实证分析

• 发表时间: 2004
• 期刊: Growth and Productivity in East Asia, NBER-East Asia on Economics Vol.13
• 作者: Fukao;Kyoji;Tomohiko Inui;Hiroki Kawai;Tsutomu Miyagawa
• 通讯作者: Tsutomu Miyagawa