Basic Study on the Differences by Sexes and Age Groups and Changes of the Determinants of Long-distance Migration in Postwar Japan

战后日本长途迁徙的性别、年龄差异及影响因素变化的基础研究

• 批准号: 16530143
• 负责人: ITO Kaoru
• 金额: $ 0.96万
• 依托单位: Gifu Shotoku Gakuen University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2004 至 2005
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-16530143/
• 关键词: domestic long-distance migration; income differentials; natural environmental amenity; social environmental amenity; analysis by age groups; adjusted gravity model; net migration model; social index; 人口移動の決定因; 20世紀後半; 男女・年齢別分析; 団塊の世代; 所得格差; 自

We analyze the differences by sexes and age groups and changes of the determinants of long-distance migration in postwar Japan. We assume that people's utility consists of income, natural environmental amenities (climate) and social environmental amenities. We use two main method ; modified gravity model and net migration model, and migration data between major 9 or 10 areas using national census and Report on Internal Migration in Japan Derived from the Basic Resident Registers from 1955 to 2000.The main results of our analysis are summarized as follows.(1)per capita real personal income has generally strong explanatory power to internal long-distance migration in postwar Japan, but it has been declining gradually with income growth of Japan(2)we find out that warm climate promote to increase net migration of warm areas in some cases, but not generally.(3)the effects of social environmental amenities are found out to some extent, but not generally.(4)the human capital model (Sjaastad (1962)) which considers land prices as housing cost has explanatory powers from 1985 to 2000,but doesn't have it from 1975 to 1980 when there were lots of return migration from major metropolitan areas to rural areas was.(5)the effects of warm climate is found out to migration of the aged people from 1985 to 1990,and that of the consumer's price index (that is real income) is found out to migration from 1995 to 2000.

我们分析了战后日本长途迁移的性别和年龄组的差异以及决定因素的变化。我们假设人们的效用包括收入、自然环境舒适度（气候）和社会环境舒适度。我们主要采用两种方法;修正的重力模型和净迁移模型，以及1955 - 2000年全国人口普查和《日本国内人口迁移报告》中的9个或10个主要地区之间的人口迁移数据。（1）人均真实的个人收入对战后日本国内长距离迁移具有较强的解释力，但随着日本收入的增长，人均实际收入的解释力逐渐下降。（2）温暖的气候在一定程度上促进了温暖地区净迁移的增加，但不是普遍的。（3）社会环境舒适度的影响在一定程度上得到了体现，但并不普遍。（4）将土地价格视为住房成本的人力资本模型（Sjaastad（1962））在1985 - 2000年具有解释力，但在1975 - 1980年大城市向农村回流时不具有解释力。（5）研究了1985 - 1990年气候变暖对老年人口迁移的影响，研究了1995 - 2000年居民消费价格指数（即真实的收入）对老年人口迁移的影响。

项目成果

長距離人口移動に対する社会環境アメニティの作用-1970年から2000年の国勢調査人口移動集計結果を利用して-

社会环境设施对长途人口迁移的影响 -利用1970年至2000年人口普查人口迁移结果-

• 发表时间: 2006
• 期刊: Review of Economics and Information Studies Vol.7, No.1・2(印刷中)
• 作者: Kariya;T.;Katou;T.;Uchiyama;T.;Suwabe;T;伊藤薫;勝浦正樹;伊藤薫
• 通讯作者: 伊藤薫

Interregional Economic Differentials and Internal Migration

区域间经济差异和内部移民

• 发表时间: 2004
• 期刊: Statistics Vol.55, No.11
• 作者: Mikio;Nishioka;NISHIOKA Mikio;伊藤薫;Kaoru Ito;伊藤薫;伊藤薫;Kaoru Ito;伊藤薫;伊藤 薫;伊藤薫;Kaoru Ito
• 通讯作者: Kaoru Ito

団塊の世代の"住まうかたち"-団塊の世代の人口移動の・過去・現在・未来-

婴儿潮一代的“生活方式”——婴儿潮一代人口流动的过去、现在和未来——

• 发表时间: 2006
• 期刊: Review of Economics and Information Studies(岐阜聖徳学園大学経済情報学部紀要) Vol.6, No.3-4
• 作者: Mikio;Nishioka;NISHIOKA Mikio;伊藤薫;Kaoru Ito;伊藤薫
• 通讯作者: 伊藤薫

Population Decline of Regions and Migration

地区人口减少与人口迁移

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Kikan Chuugokusoken Vol.9-3
• 作者: Mikio;Nishioka;NISHIOKA Mikio;伊藤薫;Kaoru Ito;伊藤薫;伊藤薫;Kaoru Ito
• 通讯作者: Kaoru Ito

An analysis of Social Environmental Amenities on the Long-distance Migration Using National Censuses from 1970 to 2000

1970-2000年全国人口普查对长途移民的社会环境便利性分析

• 发表时间: 2006
• 期刊: Review of Economics and Information Vol.7, No.1-2(mimeo)
• 作者: Kaoru Ito;美添楽人;Kosuke OYA;Kaoru Ito
• 通讯作者: Kaoru Ito