Should I Stay or Should I Go? State Exits from Regional Organizations

我应该走还是留？

• 批准号: 497254001
• 负责人: Professorin Dr. Diana Panke
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Otto-Suhr-Institut für Politikwissenschaft
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 资助国家: 德国
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/497254001?language=en
• 关键词: Should; Stay; Go; State; Exits

The withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union (EU) recently made headlines, attracting a lot of public and scholarly attention. BREXIT is not the only instance in which a member state exited a regional organization (RO). In fact, there are 49 withdrawals from ROs between the years 1945-2020. Studying these withdrawals is important as they can harm international cooperation and potentially trigger further disintegration in the longer run that could even endanger the multilateral world order as we know it. Not all states are equally inclined to leave ROs. In fact, the withdrawals from ROs are mainly driven by smaller states. Also, while some ROs were subject to several withdrawals (e.g. Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa), others experienced just one exit (e.g. the EU) and yet others never lost members (e.g. MERCOSUR). Whereas there is work on state exits from IOs, major findings, do not travel to ROs. As of yet, we do not know why states leave ROs and why some ROs are subject to more withdrawals than others, although understanding exits is of great importance for society and scholars alike. Thus, this project seeks to uncover the reasons behind the phenomenon of state exits from ROs and addresses the research questions: (1) Why are some states more inclined to exit ROs than others? (2) Why are some ROs more prone to state withdrawals than others?

英国退出欧盟（EU）最近成为头条新闻，吸引了大量公众和学者的关注。英国脱欧并不是成员国退出区域组织（RO）的唯一例子。事实上，在1945年至2020年期间，有49次退出RO。研究这些退出是很重要的，因为它们可能会损害国际合作，并可能在长期内引发进一步的分裂，甚至可能危及我们所知道的多边世界秩序。事实上，从区域组织撤出的主要是较小的国家。此外，有些区域组织经历了几次退出（如东部和南部非洲共同市场），而另一些区域组织只经历了一次退出（如欧盟），还有一些区域组织从未失去成员（如南方共同市场）。虽然有关于IO的国家退出的工作，但主要发现并没有转移到RO。到目前为止，我们不知道为什么国家离开RO，为什么一些RO比其他RO受到更多的撤回，尽管理解退出对社会和学者都非常重要。因此，本研究试图揭示国家退出区域组织现象背后的原因，并解决以下研究问题：（1）为什么有些国家比其他国家更倾向于退出区域组织？(2)为什么有些区域组织比其他组织更倾向于国家撤回？