Theoretical and empirical research for making and using Economic Statistics

经济统计的制作和使用的理论和实证研究

基本信息

批准号：
03301077
负责人：
HIROMATSU Takeshi
金额：
$ 3.71万
依托单位：
The University of Tokyo
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Co-operative Research (A)
财政年份：
1991
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1991 至 1992
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-03301077/
关键词：
Official statistics Long-term planning of statistical system Cycle of statistical survey Statistical survey of private sector Business data Standard statistical classification National census survey Aggravation of statistical environment 統

项目摘要

Economic statistics are very important in analysising the real world economy properly. But it seems to us that there are many empirical researches which applied several statistical methods mechanically without deep understanding about there inherent problems of statistical data. The Japanese society has been drastically changing mainly due to rapid informatization and internationalization. This causes serious problems in economic statistics, which can be thought as away of describing the situation of society as a whole. We need, therefore, to investigate and scrutinize such problems and to seek for means of their solutions and future image of economic statistics.The main reason for these problems is no intimate communication exits between makers and users of economic statistics. Based on the recognition that this is one of the key issues in the field of economics and statistics, our project mainly focuses on the next three points: (1) clarify the current problems of statistical system … More in European and Asian countries, (2) reinvestigate the specific problem of national census surveys and public opinion research from the point of view of statistical survey theory, and (3) clarify the current status of all kinds of the survey statistics of private organization.The main points which we have gotten from our research so far can be summarized in the followings:(a) The existing economic statistics are now suffering many problems, which came from the traditional and rather rigid system of classification (on industry, occupation and commodity). Therefore, we need a new classification system reflecting "informatization" and "internationalization" of the society.(b) The censuses and sample surveys, which give us the first original data, are now getting more difficult because of people's consciousness of privacy and changing social environment. We need to reconsider the statistical system as a whole so as to fit this environment.(c) From users' viewpoint, these days, too many statistics are now being reported and their reporting system is too complicated to understand the features and scope of each data and the interrelationship among them. We need some good "Guidebook of Economic Statistics" which is easily understandable.(d) The sample survey conducted by private organization has many prominent features; covering wide area, some of which official statistics fail to cover and grasping the actual conditions.It is very urgent for us to improve and develop statistical techniques suitable for the analysis on economic statistics which are drastically changing. Less

经济统计在分析现实世界经济中非常重要。但是在我们看来，有许多实证研究在机械上应用了几种统计方法，而没有对统计数据的固有问题进行深入了解。日本社会主要由于迅速的信息和国际化而发生了巨大变化。这会导致经济统计中的严重问题，这可以认为是描述整个社会状况的问题。因此，我们需要调查和审查此类问题，并寻求其解决方案和未来经济统计的形象。这些问题的主要原因是制造商和经济统计用户之间没有紧密的交流。基于认识到这是经济学和统计领域中的关键问题之一，我们的项目主要集中于接下来的三个点：（1）在欧洲和亚洲国家中阐明当前的统计系统问题……在欧洲和亚洲国家中，（2）重新研究国家人口普查调查的具体问题，并从统计研究的观点（3）统计学统计学的观点（3）统计学统计学的观点（3）统计学的统计学范围，以及各种各样的状态。到目前为止，可以从我们的研究中获得汇总：（a）现有的经济统计数据现在正在遇到许多问题，这些问题来自传统且相当严格的分类系统（关于行业，职业和商品）。因此，我们需要一个新的分类系统，以反映社会的“信息”和“国际化”。（b）普查和样本调查（为我们提供了第一个原始数据），由于人们对隐私和不断变化的社会环境的意识，现在变得越来越困难。我们需要重新考虑整个统计系统以适合这种环境。（c）从用户的角度来看，如今，现在已经报告了太多的统计信息，其报告系统太复杂了，无法了解每个数据的功能和范围以及其中的相互关系。我们需要一些很好的“经济统计指南”，这很容易理解。（d）私人组织进行的样本调查具有许多突出的特征；覆盖较大面积，其中一些官方统计数据未能涵盖和掌握实际条件。对于我们来说，改进和开发适合分析经济统计数据的统计技术非常迫切。较少的