A Longitudinal Analysis on Car Ownership and Its Use Based on Life Cycle in Household

基于家庭生命周期的汽车保有量及使用情况纵向分析

• 批准号: 06650584
• 负责人: AOSHIMA Naojiro
• 金额: $ 1.34万
• 依托单位: Gunma University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 1994
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1994 至 1996
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-06650584/
• 关键词: car ownership and its use; life cycle; longitudinal analysis; decision making process; dynamic model; disaggregate model

Car ownership has been considered as one of the key determinants of travel behavior and included virtually in every model of trip generation and mode choice. In the beginning of car ownership boom, the first private car was mainly a piece of household level equipment. But, with the development of the second car in the area of low dense and dispersed urban functions in particular, car use and purchase becomes more individual in household.In order to analyze household's behavior of car ownership and its use, this study proposes the framework, in which the relationship among car ownership, car use and life cycle in household is dynamically analyzed. The results of analyzing the longitudinal car ownership are as follows. Firstly, in the case of choice on the number of cars dynamic dummy variables of life cycle in nousehold influence multi-car ownership of household. Secondly, in the case of choice on the time of increasing the car it is not easy to take an efficient model. Finally, the framework proposed in this study is effective for dynamic analysis on the structure of multi-car ownership of household. Standing on these viewpoints, this study has developed a dynamic model on car ownership and its use based on life cycle in household by using disaggregate model.

汽车所有权被认为是旅行行为的关键决定因素之一，几乎将其包含在旅行和模式选择的每种型号中。在汽车拥有繁荣的开始时，第一辆私人汽车主要是家庭级设备。但是，随着在低密度和分散城市功能领域的第二辆车的发展，汽车使用和购买在家庭中变得更加个性化。为了分析家庭的汽车所有权及其使用的行为，本研究提出了框架，在该框架中，在家庭中拥有汽车所有权，汽车使用和生活周期的关系之间的关系。分析纵向汽车所有权的结果如下。首先，在选择汽车数量的情况下，Nousehold的生命周期动态虚拟变量会影响家庭的多车拥有。其次，在增加汽车时选择的情况下，采用有效的模型并不容易。最后，这项研究提出的框架对于对家庭所有权的结构进行动态分析有效。坚持这些观点，这项研究通过使用分类模型开发了一种动态模型及其基于家庭中的生命周期的动态模型。

项目成果

R.Ando, N.Aoshima, M.Ito: "Effects of Home Locating on Car Ownership in Local Cities (in Japanese)" Traffic Engineering. (in press). (1997)

R.Ando、N.Aoshima、M.Ito：“家庭定位对当地城市汽车拥有量的影响（日语）”交通工程。

宿良,青島縮次郎,加藤力: "一日交通時間から見た地域の交通.活動関連分析" 地域学研究. 第25巻 第1号. 187-198 (1995)

Yakura、Shujiro Aoshima、Riki Kato：“从每日交通时间看的区域交通。活动相关分析”区域研究，第 25 卷，第 1 期。187-198 (1995)。

青島縮次郎,宿良,藤縄寛: "自動車化社会における公共交通サービスと高齢者モビリティとの関連分析" 地域学研究. 第24巻(掲載決定). (1995)

Shujiro Aoshima、Yukura 和 Hiroshi Fujinawa：“机动化社会中公共交通服务与老年人出行的关系分析”，区域研究，第 24 卷（1995 年出版）。

青島縮次郎,樋口誠,藤縄寛: "世帯における複数保有自動車の使い分けに関する分析" 国際交通安全学会誌. Vol.20,No.3. 190-196 (1994)

Shujiro Aoshima、Makoto Higuchi、Hiroshi Fujinawa：“家庭中多辆车的正确使用分析”，国际交通安全学会杂志，第 20 卷，第 3 期（1994 年）。

L.Su, N.Aoshima, T.Kato: "An Analysis on Relations between Transportation and Activities Based on One Day's Travel Time (in Japanese)" Studies in Regional Science. Vol.25, No.1. 187-198 (1995)

L.Su、N.Aoshima、T.Kato：“基于一日旅行时间的交通与活动关系分析（日语）”区域科学研究。