Study on scientific management of catastrophic risks by property insurance

财产保险巨灾风险科学管理研究

• 批准号: 07458077
• 负责人: MEGURO Kimiro
• 金额: $ 3.84万
• 依托单位: University of Tokyo
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• 财政年份: 1995
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1995 至 1996
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-07458077/
• 关键词: CATASTROPHIC RISK; PROPERTY INSURANCE; GREAT HANSHIN-AWAJI EARTHQUAKE DISASTER; EARTHQUAKE INSURANCE; EARTHQUAKE RISK ANALYSIS; EARTHQUAKE DAMAGE

At the time of submission of the proposal of this research project, we didn't expect the occurrence of such a damaging earthquake like Hyogo-ken Nambu Earthquake which caused catastrophic damage in urban areas in Japan. The earthquake proved cynically that this kind of research is very important. Our project activities were greatly influenced by the consequences of the earthquake. To achieve the goal of the project, we had to handle a huge amount of damage data. Indeed, it was very a tough job and it was almost impossible to gather proper information right after the earthquake because of the variety of the nature of damages and its huge magnitude. Even now, two years after the earthquake, a clear image of whole damage still can not be seen. From the current situation that the effects of the earthquake is continuing, we can say that it is not the stage where we can make any conclusion.Although, collection of the detailed information on damage including economical loss is essential to co … More mplete this project, the various studies of the primary stage of the damage started using geographic information system (GIS) are still in their primary phases. For example, relation among damage and age of construction, soil condition, structural types and some other conditions are being discussed. It seems that it will take long time to understand the whole damage caused by the Hyogo-Ken Nambu Earthquake. Moreover, some of the collected data can not be obtained freely. As for economic loss, the most important information for this research, its whole aspect is not yet grasped. Under these circumstances, it was extremely difficult to carry out the project.Therefore in this study, we surveyed the situation before the Hyogo-Ken Nambu Earthquake and pointed out the major changes after the earthquake. Through the study, we have recognized that it is very tough to achieve the level of original plan considering the current situation after the earthquake, at least, the data maintenance is too poor. Less

在提交这项研究项目的提案时，我们没有想到会发生像兵库县南部地震这样给日本城市造成灾难性破坏的破坏性地震。地震愤世嫉俗地证明了这种研究是非常重要的。我们的项目活动受到地震后果的很大影响。为了实现项目的目标，我们必须处理海量的损坏数据。事实上，这是一项非常困难的工作，而且几乎不可能在地震发生后立即收集适当的信息，因为破坏的性质多种多样，而且规模巨大。即使在地震发生两年后的今天，仍然看不到整体破坏的清晰图像。4.从目前地震影响仍在持续的情况来看，我们可以说，现在还不是下结论的阶段.尽管收集包括经济损失在内的详细损失信息对于…来说是必不可少的更完善的是，利用地理信息系统(地理信息系统)开展的各种破坏初步阶段的研究仍处于初级阶段。例如，损伤与建筑年限、土壤条件、结构类型和其他一些条件之间的关系正在讨论中。看来，要了解兵库县南部地震造成的全部损失，还需要很长时间。此外，一些收集到的数据不能自由获取。至于经济损失，这是本研究最重要的信息，它的整个方面还没有掌握。在这种情况下，该项目的实施难度极大。因此，在本研究中，我们调查了兵库县南部地震前的情况，指出了地震后的主要变化。通过研究，我们认识到，考虑到地震后的现状，要达到原计划的水平是非常困难的，至少是数据维护太差了。较少

项目成果

杉浦正美・山崎文雄: "兵庫県南部地震における宝塚市の木造家屋被害" 日本地理学会予稿集(1996年度秋季学術大会). 50. 134-155 (1996)

Masami Sugiura 和 Fumio Yamazaki：“兵库县南部地震期间宝冢市木屋的损坏”日本地理学会会议记录（1996 年秋季学术会议）50. 134-155（1996）。

Nobuo Shuto ・ Tsuneo Katayama: Earth Trembles and Oceans Rage. Can we make the World Free From Natural Disasters?. Ohmu-sha Co., Ltd., 141 (1996)

秀人伸夫·片山恒夫：地球的颤抖和海洋的愤怒。我们能让世界免受自然灾害吗？Ohmu-sha Co., Ltd.，141 (1996)

Hiroko Goto ・ Fumio Yamazaki ・ Osamu Sato: "Damage to Buildings in Ashiya-City due to Hyogo-ken Nambu Earthquake" Proc.of Annual Conference of Institute of Social Safety Science. 6. 155-160 (1996)

后藤宏子、山崎文雄、佐藤修：“兵库县南部地震对芦屋市建筑物的损害”社会安全科学研究会年会论文集 6. 155-160 (1996)。

Masami Sugiura ・ Fumio Yamazaki: "Damage Analysis of the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake Disaster, Part 2 -Damage to Buildings in Takarazuka-city" Seisan-kenkyu. 48・11. 543-546 (1996)

杉浦雅美·山崎文雄：“阪神淡路大地震的损失分析，第 2 部分 - 宝冢市建筑物的损失”《青山研究》48・11（1996 年）。

後藤寛子・山崎文雄・佐藤 修: "兵庫県南部地震における芦屋市の建築物被害" 地域安全学会論文報告集. 6. 155-160 (1996)

Hiroko Goto、Fumio Yamazaki 和 Osamu Sato：“兵库县南部地震期间芦屋市建筑物的损坏”地区安全协会会议记录 6. 155-160 (1996)。