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A Study of Chinese Food shortage with Large Farm Panel Data

基于大型农场面板数据的中国粮食短缺研究

基本信息

批准号：
11691074
负责人：
TSUJII Hiroshi
金额：
$ 11.19万
依托单位：
KYOTO UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
财政年份：
1999
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1999 至 2001
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-11691074/
关键词：
Panel Data Fixed Points Survey Income Distribution Management Ability Farm Scale Financing Rent Supply and Demand of Food 農村経済研究センター固定点調査マッチング・プログラム双層経営体制社会化服務体系土地請負制第2ラウンド資源枯渇

项目摘要

Research Centre for Rural Economy (RCRE) which belongs to China's Ministry of Agriculture has conducted fixed points survey of about 20,000 farm households which are selected based on stratified sampling method for 13 years. Such a large micro-data base can not be found except for RCRE's data in the world. If these micro-data can be rearranged as panel data, these panel data can be valuable date base which is utilized for analyzing China's agricultural, rural and food problems. After negotiation between Dr.Tsujii and the representative of RCRE in 1999, 20 % of whole data was allowed to be used by the Japanese teams. Making a panel data out of it and its analysis on China's agricultural problems were down. Panelization of this 20% data was conducted by matching program method, which is developed by our team, for last 3 years and was completed in 2001. Simultaneously surveys of the sample villages were conducted in Shandong, Anhui, Heilongjang, Guizhou, Hunan and Henan provinces and a lot of data which were obtained by our direct hearing surveys from farmers were collected.Agricultural economics analysis of China's agricultural production, consumption and income distribution were conducted by using the panel data of 20% of RCRE data and village surveys. Especially problems of income distribution on village level, farm management ability of double-tier management system, structural change of farm size, financial management, rent of re-contracted land were analyzed by the panel data analysis. These achievements were presented at a Beijing symposium which was held by us on March 2002. Many Chinese and Japanese scholars participated that symposium. Finally the directions of China's agriculture policy in 21 century was proposed based on debating our panel data analysis in Beijing symposium.

中国农业部农村经济研究中心采用分层抽样的方法，历时13年对近2万户农户进行了定点调查。如此庞大的微数据库，在世界范围内除了RCRE的数据，是找不到的。如果将这些微观数据重新整理为面板数据，这些面板数据将成为分析中国农业、农村和粮食问题的有价值的数据基础。1999年，经tsujii博士与RCRE代表协商，允许日本团队使用全部数据的20%。将其作为面板数据及其对中国农业问题的分析是失败的。这20%的数据是用我们团队开发的匹配程序方法进行的，历时3年，于2001年完成。同时对山东、安徽、黑龙江、贵州、湖南、河南等省的样本村进行了调查，收集了大量农民直接听证调查所得的数据。利用20% RCRE数据的面板数据和村庄调查，对中国农业生产、消费和收入分配进行了农业经济学分析。通过面板数据分析，重点分析了村级收入分配、双层经营体制下的农场经营能力、农场规模结构变化、财务管理、再承包土地租金等问题。这些成果在2002年3月我们在北京举办的研讨会上进行了介绍。许多中日学者参加了那次研讨会。最后，通过对北京研讨会上面板数据分析的讨论，提出了21世纪中国农业政策的方向。