Development of the traffic system at a disaster with Multi-Agent Simulation and reliability analysis of travel time on road network

在这项研究中，我们开发了交通模型谁表示的路线选择的司机与多智能体仿真系统。我们适应自己的模型，我们开发的模型，评价可靠性的运行时间的汽车和开发的虚拟模型网络和真实的道路网络的道路网络发生大地震时，我们开发的系统，预测同时频繁发生火灾的爆发和火灾蔓延的情况。此外，我们评估了地震灾害时紧急车辆的访问特性，并考虑了紧急车辆的汽车分配（消防泵车，通过对道路网可靠性的分析，提出了一种基于道路网可靠性的应急车辆（救护车）进入区域预测系统，该系统可以预测正常时间道路网中紧急车辆的进入区域（在正常情况下）低，通过使用可靠性分析系统。我们预测了道路网络在地震灾害时的破坏情况，并开发了模型，以建立道路网络。但是，对于避难交通行为的预测模型，我们建立了一个多智能体的适应模型的系统。我们开发了预测地震发生时同时频繁发生火灾的发生方式和随着时间的推移如何蔓延的模型。通过使用上述系统，我们可以计算消防车必须提前到达的区域。利用Petri网仿真器开发了一个交通微观仿真系统，用于地震灾害时普通车辆和急救车辆的运行。分析了在平时和大地震发生后最适合利用ITS技术的课程教学和最适合的信号控制效果。

In this study, we developed the traffic model who expressed a route choice of a driver with a multi-agent simulation system. We adapted ourselves in the model that we developed the model that evaluated reliability for running time of a car and developed for a virtual model network and a real road network for a road network when a big earthquake occurred, we developed the system which predicted outbreak of a simultaneous frequent occurrence fire and the situation of spread of a fire. In addition, we evaluated access characteristics of an emergency vehicle at the time of an earthquake disaster, and having considered the allocation of cars of an urgent vehicle (a firefighting pump car, an ambulance) of each fire department place by reliability analysis of a road network.We developed the system which predicted the area where an access characteristic of an urgent vehicle for a road network of normal time (in normal) was low by using the reliability analysis system. And we predicted how a road network was damaged at the time of an earthquake disaster and developed the model in order to built a road network. But, about the prediction model of a refuge traffic action, we built a system with a multi-agent of adaptation model. We developed the model that predicted how it occurred and how spread with time where a simultaneous frequent occurrence fire at the time of an earthquake occurred.We get possible to calculate the area where a firefighting vehicle must arrive at early by utilizing an above system. We developed a traffic micro-simulation system with Petri-net simulator to run a general vehicle and a first aid vehicle at the time of an earthquake disaster. We analyzed the most suitable course instruction that utilized ITS technology and an effect of the most suitable signal control for normal time and after big earthquake outbreak.