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Development of the traffic system at a disaster with Multi-Agent Simulation and reliability analysis of travel time on road network

利用多智能体仿真开发灾害时的交通系统以及路网行程时间的可靠性分析

基本信息

批准号：
16360254
负责人：
TAKAYAMA Jun-ichi
金额：
$ 7.94万
依托单位：
KANAZAWA University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
财政年份：
2004
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2004 至 2005
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

In this study, we developed the traffic model who expressed a route choice of a driver with a multi-agent simulation system. We adapted ourselves in the model that we developed the model that evaluated reliability for running time of a car and developed for a virtual model network and a real road network for a road network when a big earthquake occurred, we developed the system which predicted outbreak of a simultaneous frequent occurrence fire and the situation of spread of a fire. In addition, we evaluated access characteristics of an emergency vehicle at the time of an earthquake disaster, and having considered the allocation of cars of an urgent vehicle (a firefighting pump car, an ambulance) of each fire department place by reliability analysis of a road network.We developed the system which predicted the area where an access characteristic of an urgent vehicle for a road network of normal time (in normal) was low by using the reliability analysis system. And we predicted how a road network was damaged at the time of an earthquake disaster and developed the model in order to built a road network. But, about the prediction model of a refuge traffic action, we built a system with a multi-agent of adaptation model. We developed the model that predicted how it occurred and how spread with time where a simultaneous frequent occurrence fire at the time of an earthquake occurred.We get possible to calculate the area where a firefighting vehicle must arrive at early by utilizing an above system. We developed a traffic micro-simulation system with Petri-net simulator to run a general vehicle and a first aid vehicle at the time of an earthquake disaster. We analyzed the most suitable course instruction that utilized ITS technology and an effect of the most suitable signal control for normal time and after big earthquake outbreak.

在这项研究中，我们开发了交通模型谁表示的路线选择的司机与多智能体仿真系统。我们适应自己的模型，我们开发的模型，评价可靠性的运行时间的汽车和开发的虚拟模型网络和真实的道路网络的道路网络发生大地震时，我们开发的系统，预测同时频繁发生火灾的爆发和火灾蔓延的情况。此外，我们评估了地震灾害时紧急车辆的访问特性，并考虑了紧急车辆的汽车分配（消防泵车，通过对道路网可靠性的分析，提出了一种基于道路网可靠性的应急车辆（救护车）进入区域预测系统，该系统可以预测正常时间道路网中紧急车辆的进入区域（在正常情况下）低，通过使用可靠性分析系统。我们预测了道路网络在地震灾害时的破坏情况，并开发了模型，以建立道路网络。但是，对于避难交通行为的预测模型，我们建立了一个多智能体的适应模型的系统。我们开发了预测地震发生时同时频繁发生火灾的发生方式和随着时间的推移如何蔓延的模型。通过使用上述系统，我们可以计算消防车必须提前到达的区域。利用Petri网仿真器开发了一个交通微观仿真系统，用于地震灾害时普通车辆和急救车辆的运行。分析了在平时和大地震发生后最适合利用ITS技术的课程教学和最适合的信号控制效果。

项目成果

期刊论文数量（85）

专著数量（0）

科研奖励数量（0）

会议论文数量（0）

专利数量（0）

Eco-Travel Coordinator Program : The Effects on Travel Behavior and Environmental Attitude

生态旅行协调员计划：对旅行行为和环境态度的影响

DOI：
发表时间：
2006
期刊：
Transportation Research Record (In printing)
影响因子：
0
作者：
S.Nakayama;J.Takayama
通讯作者：
J.Takayama

Development of Scenario of an Earthquake Time Fire Refuge Plan by Petri Net-Simulation

通过 Petri 网络模拟制定地震时消防避难计划情景

DOI：
发表时间：
2006
期刊：
Proceedings of the Chubu Branch Meeting of Japan Society of Civil Engineers (□-44)
影响因子：
0
作者：
S.Terabe;N.Kimata
通讯作者：
N.Kimata

Assessment about Traffic Information with Adaptation Multi-Agent at Disaster

灾害时自适应多智能体交通信息评估

DOI：
发表时间：
2006
期刊：
Proceedings of the Chubu Branch Meeting of Japan Society of Civil Engineers (□-46)
影响因子：
0
作者：
A.Yajima;J.Takayama;S.Nakayama
通讯作者：
S.Nakayama

A study on OD estimation model by Absorbing Markov Chain model that removed a cyclic course

吸收马尔可夫链模型消除循环过程的OD估计模型研究

DOI：
发表时间：
2005
期刊：
Proceedings of the 60^<th> Annual Conference of Japan Society of Civil Engineers Vol.60
影响因子：
0
作者：
J.Takayama;S.Nakayama;M.Yagi;T.Akamatsu
通讯作者：
T.Akamatsu

交通ネットワークにおける経路選択特性の分析

交通网络路径选择特性分析