Econometric Analysis of Influences to Japanese Forestry and Timber Industry by the Changes of Timber Trade Policy in Export Countries

出口国木材贸易政策变化对日本林业和木材工业影响的计量分析

基本信息

项目摘要

Forestry and forest industry in Japan are changing with unsettled framework of international economy and forest policy. The final objective of this study was to quantitatively analyze the effect of international policy influence to Japanese forest sector.United State, Canada, and Indonesia have been the major countries who made influences to Japanese timber market. Rapid increase of raw log and sawntimber imports in 1960's and early 1970's overwhelmed our market, but after that the situation in international forest sector changed. Decrease of old growth forests and growing environmental movement to save the forests were examples of such biggest changes. Forestry practices have gradually shifted from old growth exploitation to sustained yield of second growth. Because of timber frontier going more and more inland, and of environmental regulation becoming stronger, forestry in North America, especially in the Pacific coast region, affected a lot. This made US South, New Zealand, Chile, South Africa, and Portugal become competitive. In such countries, international timber companies are vigorously growing timber in short rotation. Recent increase of Japanese import of timber from Europe is a proof of less competitiveness in North America.It is also obvious that forestry in Southeast Asia and Russia are less competitive to the others in terms of Japanese timber market. Considering the shifting trend from old growth exploitation to sustained yield of second growth, deep dependence on virgin forests in such countries have no bright future in international timber trade. Under such situation, industrialization policy in Indonesia affected much to the wood panel market in the world in 1980's and 1990's.
随着国际经济格局和林业政策的变化,日本的林业和林业产业也在发生变化。本研究的最终目的是定量分析国际政策对日本林业的影响。美国、加拿大和印度尼西亚是对日本木材市场产生影响的主要国家。20世纪60年代和70年代初,原木和锯材进口的迅速增长使我国市场不堪重负,但此后国际林业部门的形势发生了变化。古老森林的减少和保护森林的环保运动的兴起就是这种最大变化的例子。林业实践已逐渐从老林开发转向次生林持续生产。由于木材边界越来越向内陆发展,环境管制越来越强,北美特别是太平洋沿岸地区的林业受到很大影响。这使得美国南部、新西兰、智利、南非和葡萄牙变得具有竞争力。在这些国家,国际木材公司正在大力种植短期轮伐期的木材。近年来,日本从欧洲进口的木材增加,证明了日本在北美的竞争力下降。从日本木材市场的角度来看,东南亚和俄罗斯的林业竞争力也明显下降。考虑到从原始林开发向次生林持续生产的转变趋势,这些国家对原始林的严重依赖在国际木材贸易中没有光明的前景。在这种情况下,印尼的工业化政策对20世纪80年代和90年代世界人造板市场产生了重大影响。

项目成果

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大田 伊久雄: "アメリカ国有林管理の史的展開"京都大学学術出版会. 362 (2000)
太田郁夫:《美国国家森林管理的历史发展》京都大学学术出版社362(2000)。
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大田伊久雄: "アメリカ国有林管理の史的展開"京都大学学術出版会. 375 (2000)
太田郁夫:《美国国家森林管理的历史发展》京都大学学术出版社375(2000)。
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藤谷築次 編著: "日本農業の担い手再編ビジョン" 農林統計協会(近刊), (1998)
藤谷佃主编:《日本农业领导人的重组愿景》农林统计协会(即将出版),(1998年)
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Ikuo Ota and Yoshinao Murashima: "Afforestation policy in Japan : Its trend in the last half of the 20th Century and present status."Proceedings of IUFRO Group 3. 08. 00 Cairns Symposium : Developing policies to encourage small-scale forestry.. (2000)
Ikuo Ota 和 Yoshinao Murashima:“日本的造林政策:20 世纪后半叶的趋势和现状。”IUFRO 集团会议记录 3. 08. 00 凯恩斯研讨会:制定鼓励小型林业的政策..(
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OTA Ikuo: "Regenerating Forestry Workers in Japan" Sustainable Management of Small-scale Forestry. 72-79 (1997)
OTA Ikuo:“日本林业工人的再生”小规模林业的可持续管理。
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MURASHIMA Yoshinao其他文献

MURASHIMA Yoshinao的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('MURASHIMA Yoshinao', 18)}}的其他基金

Trade of Forest Products and Policy of Environment
林产品贸易与环境政策
  • 批准号:
    06041059
  • 财政年份:
    1994
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.37万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for international Scientific Research
A study for forest management system and workers in highly industrialized society
高度工业化社会的森林管理体系和工人研究
  • 批准号:
    06660185
  • 财政年份:
    1994
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.37万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
Comparative study of forestry in Japan and US
日本与美国林业比较研究
  • 批准号:
    02660150
  • 财政年份:
    1990
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.37万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)

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Fundamental research on method of conversion from middle-aged man-made forest to natural forest with little logging machine
小型伐木机中龄人工林转天然林方法基础研究
  • 批准号:
    07660187
  • 财政年份:
    1995
  • 资助金额:
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  • 项目类别:
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The Interglacials as a Result of Climate Modification Produced by Natural (and Prehistoric Man-made ?) Forest and Grassland Fires: Experimental Verification
自然(和史前人为?)森林和草原火灾造成的气候变化导致的间冰期:实验验证
  • 批准号:
    8506649
  • 财政年份:
    1986
  • 资助金额:
    $ 2.37万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
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