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Ocean Cryosphere Exchanges in ANtarctica: Impacts on Climate and the Earth system

Ocean Cryosphere Exchanges in ANtarctica: Impacts on Climate and the Earth system
南极洲海洋冰冻圈交换:对气候和地球系统的影响
批准号:
10044417
负责人:
金额:
$14.74万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
英国
项目类别:
EU-Funded
财政年份:
2022
资助国家:
英国
项目状态:
未结题
起止时间:
2022 至 --

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中文摘要
翻译
海洋:ICE将通过对海平面上升、深水形成、海洋环流和气候的影响,评估关键的南极冰盖和南大洋过程对地球的影响。一个创新的和雄心勃勃的观测和数值模型,包括耦合冰盖气候模型的发展相结合,将被用来改善预测如何在南极和格陵兰冰盖的变化影响全球气候。它将在观测空白处进行新的环极和大西洋观测。它将把这些数据和现有数据同化为改进的冰盖边界条件和强迫,对冰盖融化和对海洋环流的影响,包括对大西洋经向翻转环流的影响作出新的估计。它将开发、校准和评估用于预测巨型冰盖未来演变的模型。这将减少冰川融化对十年至几百年时间尺度上与社会有关的环境变化的影响的深刻不确定性。海洋:ICE将评估通过冰盖“临界点”的可能性及其对海洋环流和气候的影响。海洋:ICE将通过其广泛的国际合作者网络提高欧洲研究的知名度,这些合作者提供科学和后勤支持。它将通过观测、后勤合作和分析直接为全大西洋研究联盟作出贡献。它将大大推进冰盖-气候耦合建模的最新技术水平,并直接促进政府间气候变化专门委员会和世界海洋评估等国际气候评估。它将与欧洲数据中心有机连接,按照公平和激励原则传播其数据。它将为政策制定者和公众提供更好的冰盖融化对欧洲气候影响的评估,并提供可操作的风险和时间表。
英文摘要
OCEAN:ICE will assess the impacts of key Antarctic Ice Sheet and Southern Ocean processes on Planet Earth, via their influence on sea level rise, deep water formation, ocean circulation and climate. An innovative and ambitious combination of observations and numerical models, including coupled ice sheet-climate model development, will be used to improve predictions of how changes in the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets impact global climate. It will make new circumpolar and Atlantic observations in observational gaps. It will assimilate these and existing data into improved ice sheet boundary conditions and forcing, producing new estimates of ice sheet melt and impacts on ocean circulation, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning circulation. It will develop, calibrate and assess models used to predict the future evolution of the giant ice sheets. It will reduce the deep uncertainty in the impact of their melt on societally relevant environmental changes on decadal to multi-centennial time scales. OCEAN:ICE will assess the potential for passing ice sheet 'tipping points' and their consequences for ocean circulation and climate. OCEAN:ICE will raise the profile of European research through its extensive network of international collaborators, who provide scientific and logistical support. It will directly contribute to the All Atlantic Ocean Research Alliance through observations, logistical collaboration and analysis. It will significantly advance the state-of-the-art in coupled ice sheet-climate modelling and directly contribute to international climate assessments such as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and World Ocean Assessment. It will link organically to European data centres to disseminate its data, following FAIR and INSPIRE principles. It will deliver improved assessments of European climate impacts from the melting ice sheets, with actionable risk and timescales, to policymakers and the public.
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