Circular Economy for the Construction Industry - Using AI to Justify Increasing Demolition Fees in Scotland

作为苏格兰第一家房地产科技B-Corp(这是一项严格的认证，表明该公司符合社会和环境影响的最高标准)，Grand Bequest成立于2020年，最终通过先进的数据分析和技术为建筑业带来循环经济思维。Grand Bequest的使命是看到拆除建筑成为罕见的例外，并支持议会、社区和当地公民让他们空置和被遗忘的建筑复活。今天，在英国，我们每10分钟就拆除一座建筑。这导致每年损失50,000多座建筑物。令人震惊的是，苏格兰一半以上的国家垃圾直接归因于建筑和拆除。建筑和拆除行业按照传统的线性方法运行--新建、拆除、新建、拆除；没有迹象表明这种方法会改变到英国到2050年实现国家温室气体净零排放的立法目标所需的规模。建筑和拆除造成的温室气体排放，被称为“体现碳排放”，是气候变化的主要原因之一。建筑师气候行动网络(ACAN)发现，建筑物在整个寿命周期内的碳排放量高达总排放量的75%，英国新建建筑和基础设施的总排放量约为5000万吨二氧化碳，占我国领土排放量的10%以上。碳排放量没有受到任何监管，仍然被国家规划政策忽视。在政府出台重要法规之前，开发商和房屋建筑商没有重大的经济理由来改变他们的线性行为，减少具体的碳排放。那么，在碳排放立法滞后的情况下，我们能做些什么来保护建筑物不被填埋呢？我们可以让拆迁变得昂贵得令人望而却步。这项提案将通过使用预测模型来确定苏格兰各地到2050年可能的拆迁地点，从而为提高苏格兰的拆迁费用创造条件。然后，该模型将被用来检验增加地方规划拆迁费用的经济效果，并公布必要的费用结构改进。这项提议还将起到至关重要的作用，为更广泛的英国乃至其他地区展示提高收费的方法，以最终治愈我们对建筑拆迁的浪费性沉迷，并支持循环再生方法来创造位置。

As Scotland's first Property Technology B-Corp (a rigorous certification that demonstrates the company meets the highest standards of social and environmental impact), Grand Bequest was founded in 2020 to finally bring a circular economy mindset to the construction industry through advanced data analytics and technology. Grand Bequest's mission is to see building demolitions become the rare exception and support councils, communities, and local citizens bringing their empty and forgotten buildings back to life.Today, we demolish a building every 10 minutes in the UK. This results in the loss of over 50,000 buildings every year. And, shockingly, more than half of all of Scotland's national waste is directly attributed to the construction and demolition of buildings.The construction and demolition industries operate in a traditionally linear approach -- build new, demolish, build new, demolish; and there is no indication of this approach changing at the needed scale for the UK to reach its legislated target of net-zero national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050\.GHG emissions caused by the construction and demolition of buildings, known as 'embodied carbon emissions', are one of the leading causes of climate change. Architect Climate Action Network (ACAN) has found that embodied carbon emissions account for up to 75% of a building's total emissions over its lifespan and the total embodied carbon emissions of new buildings and infrastructure in the UK accounts for around 50 Mt CO2e, a figure in excess of 10% of our national territorial emissions.Embodied carbon emissions are not regulated in anyway and continue to be ignored by national planning policy. And until the Government introduces vital regulations, there is no significant financial reason for developers and housebuilders to change their linear behaviour and reduce embodied carbon emissions. So, what can we do while carbon legislation is lagging to protect buildings from going to landfill? We can make demolitions prohibitively expensive.This proposal will create the case for increasing demolition fees in Scotland by using predictive modelling to identify likely demolition locations across Scotland by 2050\. This model will then be used to test the economic outcomes of increasing the local planning demolition fees and publish the necessary fee structure improvements. This proposal will also serve the vital role as a demonstrative illustration of the fee increase methodology for the wider UK and beyond to definitively cure our wasteful addiction to building demolitions and support a circular regenerative approach to placemaking.