Circular Economy for the Construction Industry - Using AI to Justify Increasing Demolition Fees in Scotland

作为苏格兰第一家房地产技术B-Corp（一项严格的认证，表明该公司符合社会和环境影响的最高标准），Grand Bequest成立于2020年，通过先进的数据分析和技术，最终将循环经济理念引入建筑行业。Grand Bequest的使命是让建筑拆除成为罕见的例外，并支持议会、社区和当地公民让他们空置和被遗忘的建筑恢复生机。今天，我们在英国每10分钟就拆除一座建筑。这导致每年超过50，000栋建筑物的损失。而且，令人震惊的是，苏格兰全国一半以上的垃圾直接归因于建筑物的建造和拆除。建筑和拆除行业以传统的线性方式运作--新建，拆除，新建，拆除;而且没有迹象表明这种方法会在英国达到其国家温室气体净零排放的立法目标所需的规模上发生变化由建筑物的建造和拆除引起的温室气体排放，被称为“隐含碳排放”，是气候变化的主要原因之一。建筑师气候行动网络（ACAN）发现，隐含碳排放量占建筑物寿命期内总排放量的75%，英国新建筑和基础设施的总隐含碳排放量约为5000万吨二氧化碳当量。超过10%的数字我们的国家领土排放量。碳排放量无论如何都没有受到管制，并继续被国家规划政策所忽视。在政府出台重要法规之前，开发商和房屋建筑商没有重大的经济理由改变其线性行为并减少隐含的碳排放。那么，在碳立法滞后的情况下，我们能做些什么来保护建筑物不被填埋呢？我们可以使拆除费用高得令人望而却步。这项提案将通过使用预测模型来确定2050年苏格兰各地可能的拆除地点，从而为苏格兰增加拆除费用创造条件。该模型将用于测试增加当地规划拆迁费的经济结果，并公布必要的费用结构改进。该提案还将发挥重要作用，作为更广泛的英国及其他地区的费用增加方法的示范说明，以彻底治愈我们对建筑拆除的浪费成瘾，并支持对场所营造的循环再生方法。

As Scotland's first Property Technology B-Corp (a rigorous certification that demonstrates the company meets the highest standards of social and environmental impact), Grand Bequest was founded in 2020 to finally bring a circular economy mindset to the construction industry through advanced data analytics and technology. Grand Bequest's mission is to see building demolitions become the rare exception and support councils, communities, and local citizens bringing their empty and forgotten buildings back to life.Today, we demolish a building every 10 minutes in the UK. This results in the loss of over 50,000 buildings every year. And, shockingly, more than half of all of Scotland's national waste is directly attributed to the construction and demolition of buildings.The construction and demolition industries operate in a traditionally linear approach -- build new, demolish, build new, demolish; and there is no indication of this approach changing at the needed scale for the UK to reach its legislated target of net-zero national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050\.GHG emissions caused by the construction and demolition of buildings, known as 'embodied carbon emissions', are one of the leading causes of climate change. Architect Climate Action Network (ACAN) has found that embodied carbon emissions account for up to 75% of a building's total emissions over its lifespan and the total embodied carbon emissions of new buildings and infrastructure in the UK accounts for around 50 Mt CO2e, a figure in excess of 10% of our national territorial emissions.Embodied carbon emissions are not regulated in anyway and continue to be ignored by national planning policy. And until the Government introduces vital regulations, there is no significant financial reason for developers and housebuilders to change their linear behaviour and reduce embodied carbon emissions. So, what can we do while carbon legislation is lagging to protect buildings from going to landfill? We can make demolitions prohibitively expensive.This proposal will create the case for increasing demolition fees in Scotland by using predictive modelling to identify likely demolition locations across Scotland by 2050\. This model will then be used to test the economic outcomes of increasing the local planning demolition fees and publish the necessary fee structure improvements. This proposal will also serve the vital role as a demonstrative illustration of the fee increase methodology for the wider UK and beyond to definitively cure our wasteful addiction to building demolitions and support a circular regenerative approach to placemaking.