PUBLIC WELFARE AND LIFE CYCLE DECISIONS OF YOUNG WOMEN

公共福利和年轻女性的生命周期决策

• 批准号: 2207572
• 负责人: KENNETH I WOLPIN
• 金额: $ 17.55万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 1995
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1995-09-01 至 1999-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/2207572
• 关键词: adolescence (12-20); age at marriage; age at pregnancy; decision making; education; employment of women; family structure /dynamics; female; fertility; household; human data; life cycle; longitudinal human study; low socioeconomic status; marriage /marital status; mathematical model; public assistance; racial /ethnic difference; socioeconomics; women's health; young adult human (21-34)

This project studies relationship between public welfare eligibility criteria and benefit rules and the life cycle decisions of young women concerning schooling, marriage, fertility, work, and welfare participation. The life cycle decisions are treated as being made jointly under uncertainty in a sequential and forward looking manner and subject to economic and environmental constraints. Among the constraints are time-varying labor market and marriage market opportunities, and the behaviors of other family members, parents and spouses. The model is estimated using data from the female respondent's of the 1979 youth cohort of the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience. The structural estimates of the model are to be used to perform counterfactual policy experiments concerning the impact of public welfare rules on life cycle outcomes. Specifically, the alms of the project are: 1. To describe the life cycle schooling, marriage, fertility, labor supply, and public welfare participation patterns of women during their teens and twenties by race/ethnicity using longitudinal data. 2. To estimate a dynamic economic model of women's life cycle decisions in which schooling, marital status, fertility, labor supply and welfare program participation are treated jointly as components of the choice set. 3. To estimate the effect of welfare program eligibility criteria and benefit rules, marriage market opportunities, labor market opportunities, and family background on women's life cycle decisions regarding schooling, marriage, fertility, labor supply and welfare program participation. 4. To quantify the importance of alternative explanations, such as "poor" marriage market opportunities vs. the generosity of welfare programs, for the racial and ethnic differences observed in the schooling, marriage, fertility, labor supply, and welfare participation patterns of young women. 5. To estimate the impact of welfare program eligibility criteria and benefit rules on the aggregate levels of premarital childbearing, of female headed households, of women in poverty and of children born into poverty. 6. To estimate the effect of welfare program eligibility criteria and benefit rules on women's life cycle human capital accumulation and on women's wealth. 7. To estimate the extent to which public welfare creates, through its effect on life cycle decision making concerning schooling, marriage, fertility, and work, a permanent welfare- dependent subgroup of women.

本课题研究的是公益资格与 标准和福利规则以及青年妇女的生命周期决定 关于教育、婚姻、生育、工作和福利 参与的生命周期决策被视为共同做出的 在不确定的情况下，以连续和前瞻性的方式和主题 经济和环境的限制。这些制约因素包括 时变的劳动力市场和婚姻市场机会， 其他家庭成员、父母和配偶的行为。该模型 使用1979年青年女性受访者的数据估计 国家劳动力市场经验纵向调查的队列。 该模型的结构估计将用于执行 关于公共福利影响的反事实政策实验 关于生命周期结果的规则。 具体而言，该项目的施舍是：1。来描述生命周期 教育、婚姻、生育、劳动力供给和公共福利 2000 - 2001年妇女在十几岁和二十多岁期间的参与模式， 使用纵向数据的种族/民族。 2.要估计动态 妇女生命周期决定的经济模式， 婚姻状况、生育率、劳动力供给和福利计划参与 被共同视为选择集的组成部分。 3.估计 福利计划资格标准和福利规则的影响， 婚姻市场机会、劳动力市场机会和家庭 妇女在生命周期中关于上学、婚姻、 生育率、劳动力供给和福利计划参与。 4.到 量化替代解释的重要性，例如“差” 婚姻市场的机会与福利计划的慷慨， 在教育、婚姻、 生育率、劳动力供给和年轻人的福利参与模式 妇女 5.估计福利计划资格标准的影响 和关于婚前生育总水平的福利规则， 贫困妇女和家庭中出生的儿童 贫困6.估计福利计划资格的影响 关于妇女生命周期人力资本的标准和福利规则 财富的积累和女人的财富。7.为了估计 公共福利通过其对生命周期决策的影响， 关于教育，婚姻，生育和工作，一个永久的福利- 受抚养的女性。