Live prediction of seat-availability for bus passengers from real time bus occupancy and location data

社会距离措施使公交车的有效载客量降至正常载客量的40%。尽管许多航线目前还不够繁忙，总体上不具备商业可行性，但它们在某些时间可能过于繁忙，导致乘客被拒之门外。由于乘客已经对使用公共交通感到紧张--这种情况可能会阻止乘客未来使用公交车。运营商必须找到方法，通过改进可靠且不断更新的乘客信息来建立对公交车服务的信心。具体地说，有必要向乘客提供有关公交车上可用空间的信息，以便乘客知道他们是否可以上车，以及他们是否会对这种体验感到舒服。这些信息必须超越预先计划工具，并提供特定巴士在特定车站的实时、持续更新的空间预测。我们的提案将提供每辆汽车和巴士路线上每个公共汽车站的预期到达时间和预测乘客空间的实时数据馈送。这超越了现有的解决方案，将实时乘客人数感知与进一步沿路线上下车的实时预测结合在一起。该提要将不断更新，并可以整合到更广泛的面向乘客的服务中，包括乘客应用程序、数字公交站牌和旅行计划工具。

Social distancing measures have reduced the effective capacity of buses to 40% of regular capacity. Although many routes are not currently busy enough to be commercially viable overall, they can be too busy at certain times and passengers are being turned away as a result. With passengers already nervous about using public transport - such instances may prevent passengers from using the bus in the future.Operators must find ways to build confidence in bus services through improved passenger information that is reliable and constantly updated. Specifically, there is a need to provide passengers with information on the space available on buses, so passengers know if they will be able to board and if they will be comfortable with the experience. This information must go beyond advance planning tools, and provide real time, continuously updated predictions of the space on specific buses at specific stops.Our proposal will provide a real time data feed of expected arrival time and predicted passenger space for every vehicle and every bus stop on a bus route. This goes beyond existing solutions by combining real time occupancy sensing with real time prediction of boarding and alighting further down the route. The feed will be continuously updated and can be integrated into a wider range of passenger facing services, including passengers apps, digital bus stop signage and journey planning tools.