MORTALITY ANALYSIS TOOLKIT FOR AGING RESEARCH

描述：本SBIR的广泛目标是开发、生产、 并销售一套电脑软件，用于研究和分析 快速老龄化社会的死亡率。 该软件包的新功能 包括数据的范围和质量， (80+）死亡率;用于比较、分析、 敏感性分析，分解;新开发的死亡率模型 模式和趋势;以及将这些功能包装在一个互动的， 在个人电脑上运行的图形软件程序。 具体目标 第一阶段申请的目的是：（a）组织、记录和 使死亡率数据库标准化，必要时加以扩大， （B）将现有的分析工具纳入标准化的C 语言格式，在Windows 95/NT上编译和测试这些组件 平台，并记录它们;（c）开发完整的软件设计 （功能、GUI、库、数据库结构、链接、在线帮助 特征、大小估计）;（d） 准备一份完整的、精心组织的最终产品规格说明书 包括产品的用户手册和技术手册草稿 和产品规格。 拟定商业应用： 拟议的项目将提供最新数据和分析 死亡率和死亡率变化的建模技术。的 即将开发的软件将使人口统计学家、经济学家和其他 研究人员回答了许多实质性和分析性的问题。的 我们的目标市场包括分析师，研究人员和学生， 许多领域包括精算学、商业、人口学、经济学、 金融、老年学、公共财政、公共卫生、公共政策和 社会学

DESCRIPTION: The broad objectives of this SBIR are to develop, produce, and market a computer software package for the study and analysis of mortality in rapidly aging societies. Novel features of this package include the range and quality of the data, thorough coverage of old-age (80 +) mortality; sophisticated tools for comparison, analysis, sensitivity analysis, decomposition; newly developed models for mortality pattern and trends; and the packaging of these features in an interactive, graphical software program to run on personal computers. Specific goals of this Phase I application are: (a) to organize, document, and standardize a mortality data base, extending it where necessary and possible; (b) to put existing analytical tools into a standardized C language format, compile and test these as components on Windows 95/NT platforms, and document them; (c) develop a complete software design (features, GUIs, libraries, data base structure, linking, on-line help features, size estimates) using an evolutionary design approach; (d) prepare a complete, carefully organized specification of the final product including drafts of a user manual and a technical manual for the product and a product specification. PROPOSED COMMERCIAL APPLICATION: The proposed project will make available recent data and analytical techniques for the modeling of mortality and mortality change. The software to be developed will allow demographers, economists, and other researchers to answer many substantive and analytical questions. The market we aim to serve consists of analysts, researchers, and students in many fields including actuarial science, business, demography, economics, finance, gerontology, public finance, public health, public policy and sociology.